← All picks for September 11, 2026
Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers
September 11, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Colorado Rockies
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Detroit Tigers (10 edges vs 5 for Colorado Rockies).
Note: the model leans Colorado Rockies even though the simple edge count favors Detroit Tigers. This can happen because the model weighs each input differently — a single large advantage (like a dominant pitching matchup or a significant offensive gap) can outweigh several smaller edges on the other side. The edge count treats every metric equally, but the model does not.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Detroit Tigers
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Detroit Tigers.
- Detroit Tigers 0.300 vs Colorado Rockies 0.250 — roughly even
- Detroit Tigers -1.40 vs Colorado Rockies -1.70 — leans Detroit Tigers
- Detroit Tigers 3.35 vs Colorado Rockies 3.95 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Detroit Tigers 4.75 vs Colorado Rockies 5.65 — leans Detroit Tigers
- Detroit Tigers 0.667 vs Colorado Rockies 0 — leans Detroit Tigers
- Detroit Tigers 1.393 vs Colorado Rockies 0.591 — leans Detroit Tigers
Season to date — leans Detroit Tigers
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Detroit Tigers.
- Detroit Tigers 4.33 vs Colorado Rockies 4.64 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Detroit Tigers 3.96 vs Colorado Rockies 5.68 — leans Detroit Tigers
- Detroit Tigers 0.444 vs Colorado Rockies 0.200 — leans Detroit Tigers
- Detroit Tigers 101.0 vs Colorado Rockies 98.3 — roughly even
Starting pitching (recent starts) — Mixed
The starting pitching matchup between Colorado Rockies and Detroit Tigers grades out as a toss-up based on recent outings.
- Detroit Tigers 4.45 vs Colorado Rockies 4.25 — roughly even
- Detroit Tigers 1.34 vs Colorado Rockies 1.28 — roughly even
- Detroit Tigers 6.99 vs Colorado Rockies 8.60 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Detroit Tigers 1.74 vs Colorado Rockies 0 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Detroit Tigers 3.47 vs Colorado Rockies 3.24 — roughly even
- Detroit Tigers 1.20 vs Colorado Rockies 1.44 — leans Detroit Tigers
- Detroit Tigers 2.11 vs Colorado Rockies 3.82 — leans Detroit Tigers
- Detroit Tigers 0 vs Colorado Rockies 0 — roughly even
Offense & matchup — leans Detroit Tigers
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Detroit Tigers.
- Detroit Tigers 0.388 vs Colorado Rockies 0.390 — roughly even
- Detroit Tigers 0.499 vs Colorado Rockies 0.484 — roughly even
- Detroit Tigers 0.415 vs Colorado Rockies 0.409 — roughly even
- Detroit Tigers 0.542 vs Colorado Rockies 0.542 — roughly even
- Detroit Tigers 0.405 vs Colorado Rockies 0.377 — leans Detroit Tigers
- Detroit Tigers 0.492 vs Colorado Rockies 0.496 — roughly even
- Detroit Tigers 0.684 vs Colorado Rockies 0.922 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Detroit Tigers 0.016 vs Colorado Rockies -0.013 — leans Detroit Tigers
Series & head-to-head — Mixed
Head-to-head history between Colorado Rockies and Detroit Tigers does not clearly favor either side.
- Detroit Tigers 0.500 vs Colorado Rockies 0.500 — roughly even
- Detroit Tigers 0 vs Colorado Rockies 0 — roughly even
Betting Lines
Detroit Tigers -1.5 | O/U 8.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
Colorado Rockies 2, Detroit Tigers 6 — Detroit Tigers win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
Please gamble responsibly.