St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies

September 6, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans St. Louis Cardinals

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned St. Louis Cardinals (13 edges vs 11 for Colorado Rockies).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — Mixed

Recent form factors are roughly even between St. Louis Cardinals and Colorado Rockies, with neither team showing a clear edge in their last ten games.

Colorado Rockies 0.300 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.450 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies -1.25 vs St. Louis Cardinals -0.55 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies 4.45 vs St. Louis Cardinals 5.50 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies 5.70 vs St. Louis Cardinals 6.05 — leans Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies 0.667 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.333 — leans Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies 1.648 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.970 — leans Colorado Rockies

Season to date — leans St. Louis Cardinals

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the St. Louis Cardinals.

Colorado Rockies 4.66 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.40 — leans Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies 5.62 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.48 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies 0.273 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.500 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies 98.3 vs St. Louis Cardinals 101.5 — leans St. Louis Cardinals

Starting pitching (recent starts) — Mixed

The starting pitching matchup between St. Louis Cardinals and Colorado Rockies grades out as a toss-up based on recent outings.

Colorado Rockies 6.52 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.74 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies 1.45 vs St. Louis Cardinals 1.58 — leans Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies 9.31 vs St. Louis Cardinals 8.03 — leans Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies 2.25 vs St. Louis Cardinals -0.10 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies 3.24 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.44 — leans Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies 1.44 vs St. Louis Cardinals 1.48 — roughly even
Colorado Rockies 3.82 vs St. Louis Cardinals 3.18 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies 0 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0 — roughly even

Offense & matchup — leans Colorado Rockies

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Colorado Rockies.

Colorado Rockies 0.390 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.393 — roughly even
Colorado Rockies 0.484 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.519 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies 0.374 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.426 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies 0.480 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.563 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies 0.387 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.375 — leans Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies 0.533 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.487 — leans Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies 1.090 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.667 — leans Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies -0.003 vs St. Louis Cardinals -0.018 — leans Colorado Rockies

Series & head-to-head — leans St. Louis Cardinals

Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the St. Louis Cardinals.

Colorado Rockies 0.400 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.600 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies 0 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0 — roughly even

Betting Lines

St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 | O/U 11.5 (DraftKings)

Final Score

St. Louis Cardinals 10, Colorado Rockies 8 — St. Louis Cardinals win — Model pick was correct

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.