Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals

August 9, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans St. Louis Cardinals

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned St. Louis Cardinals (12 edges vs 9 for Colorado Rockies).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans St. Louis Cardinals

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the St. Louis Cardinals.

St. Louis Cardinals 0.350 vs Colorado Rockies 0.350 — roughly even
St. Louis Cardinals -0.80 vs Colorado Rockies -1 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals 3.55 vs Colorado Rockies 4.95 — leans Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals 4.35 vs Colorado Rockies 5.95 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals 0.667 vs Colorado Rockies 0.333 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals 1.127 vs Colorado Rockies 0.673 — leans St. Louis Cardinals

Season to date — leans St. Louis Cardinals

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the St. Louis Cardinals.

St. Louis Cardinals 4.20 vs Colorado Rockies 4.74 — leans Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals 4.29 vs Colorado Rockies 5.64 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals 0.300 vs Colorado Rockies 0.250 — roughly even
St. Louis Cardinals 101.5 vs Colorado Rockies 98.3 — leans St. Louis Cardinals

Starting pitching (recent starts) — Mixed

The starting pitching matchup between Colorado Rockies and St. Louis Cardinals grades out as a toss-up based on recent outings.

St. Louis Cardinals 2.51 vs Colorado Rockies 4.29 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals 0.94 vs Colorado Rockies 1.43 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals 4.71 vs Colorado Rockies 6 — leans Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals 0.90 vs Colorado Rockies -1.26 — leans Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals 4.44 vs Colorado Rockies 3.24 — leans Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals 1.48 vs Colorado Rockies 1.44 — roughly even
St. Louis Cardinals 3.18 vs Colorado Rockies 3.82 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals 0 vs Colorado Rockies 0 — roughly even

Offense & matchup — Mixed

The offensive matchup is closely contested between Colorado Rockies and St. Louis Cardinals.

St. Louis Cardinals 0.393 vs Colorado Rockies 0.390 — roughly even
St. Louis Cardinals 0.519 vs Colorado Rockies 0.484 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals 0.426 vs Colorado Rockies 0.374 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals 0.563 vs Colorado Rockies 0.480 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals 0.391 vs Colorado Rockies 0.398 — roughly even
St. Louis Cardinals 0.493 vs Colorado Rockies 0.574 — leans Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals 0.667 vs Colorado Rockies 0.824 — leans Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals -0.002 vs Colorado Rockies 0.007 — leans Colorado Rockies

Series & head-to-head — leans Colorado Rockies

Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Colorado Rockies.

St. Louis Cardinals 0.500 vs Colorado Rockies 0.500 — roughly even
St. Louis Cardinals -0.50 vs Colorado Rockies 0.50 — leans Colorado Rockies

Betting Lines

St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 | O/U 9.5 (FanDuel)

Final Score

Colorado Rockies 4, St. Louis Cardinals 7 — St. Louis Cardinals win — Model pick was correct

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.