← All picks for August 4, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies
August 4, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Tampa Bay Rays
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Tampa Bay Rays (13 edges vs 9 for Colorado Rockies).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Tampa Bay Rays
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Colorado Rockies 0.350 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.550 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies -1.15 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.10 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 4.65 vs Tampa Bay Rays 4 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 5.80 vs Tampa Bay Rays 3.90 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 0.667 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.667 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 2.079 vs Tampa Bay Rays 1.250 — leans Colorado Rockies
Season to date — leans Colorado Rockies
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Colorado Rockies.
- Colorado Rockies 4.76 vs Tampa Bay Rays 4.36 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 5.64 vs Tampa Bay Rays 4.05 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 0.500 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.444 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 98.3 vs Tampa Bay Rays 98.5 — roughly even
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Tampa Bay Rays
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Colorado Rockies 3 vs Tampa Bay Rays 3.21 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 1 vs Tampa Bay Rays 1.25 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 8 vs Tampa Bay Rays 9 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 0 vs Tampa Bay Rays -0.30 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 3.24 vs Tampa Bay Rays 3.09 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 1.44 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.86 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 3.82 vs Tampa Bay Rays 3.23 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 5.3 vs Tampa Bay Rays 10 — leans Colorado Rockies
Offense & matchup — Mixed
The offensive matchup is closely contested between Tampa Bay Rays and Colorado Rockies.
- Colorado Rockies 0.390 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.385 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 0.484 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.457 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 0.374 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.383 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 0.480 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.357 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 0.392 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.414 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 0.562 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.492 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 0.708 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.898 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 0.002 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.029 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
Series & head-to-head — leans Tampa Bay Rays
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Colorado Rockies 0 vs Tampa Bay Rays 1 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies -4 vs Tampa Bay Rays 4 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
Betting Lines
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 | O/U 11.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
Tampa Bay Rays 9, Colorado Rockies 7 — Tampa Bay Rays win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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