← All picks for August 3, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies
August 3, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Tampa Bay Rays
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — Mixed
Recent form factors are roughly even between Tampa Bay Rays and Colorado Rockies, with neither team showing a clear edge in their last ten games.
- Colorado Rockies 0.400 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.550 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies -0.90 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.15 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 4.40 vs Tampa Bay Rays 3.70 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 5.30 vs Tampa Bay Rays 3.55 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 1 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.333 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 1.742 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.270 — leans Colorado Rockies
Season to date — leans Colorado Rockies
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Colorado Rockies.
- Colorado Rockies 4.72 vs Tampa Bay Rays 4.28 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 5.58 vs Tampa Bay Rays 4.01 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 0.556 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.375 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 98.3 vs Tampa Bay Rays 98.5 — roughly even
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Tampa Bay Rays
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Colorado Rockies 4.29 vs Tampa Bay Rays 3.60 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 1.43 vs Tampa Bay Rays 1.20 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 6 vs Tampa Bay Rays 10.80 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies -1.26 vs Tampa Bay Rays -6.75 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 3.24 vs Tampa Bay Rays 3.09 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 1.44 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.86 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 3.82 vs Tampa Bay Rays 3.23 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Colorado Rockies 12.7 vs Tampa Bay Rays 17.3 — leans Colorado Rockies
Offense & matchup — leans Colorado Rockies
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Colorado Rockies.
- Colorado Rockies 0.390 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.385 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 0.484 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.457 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 0.409 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.383 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 0.542 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.357 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 0.408 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.407 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 0.561 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.482 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 0.794 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.782 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 0.018 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.022 — roughly even
Series & head-to-head — Mixed
Head-to-head history between Tampa Bay Rays and Colorado Rockies does not clearly favor either side.
- Colorado Rockies 0.500 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0.500 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 0 vs Tampa Bay Rays 0 — roughly even
Betting Lines
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 | O/U 11.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
Tampa Bay Rays 13, Colorado Rockies 9 — Tampa Bay Rays win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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