St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees

August 3, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans New York Yankees

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned New York Yankees (14 edges vs 6 for St. Louis Cardinals).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans New York Yankees

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees 0.550 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.350 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 0 vs St. Louis Cardinals -0.95 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 2.95 vs St. Louis Cardinals 3.15 — roughly even
New York Yankees 2.95 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.10 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 0.667 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.333 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 0.678 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.741 — roughly even

Season to date — leans New York Yankees

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees 4.41 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.16 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 3.66 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.30 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 0.375 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.333 — roughly even
New York Yankees 108.7 vs St. Louis Cardinals 101.5 — leans New York Yankees

Starting pitching (recent starts) — Mixed

The starting pitching matchup between St. Louis Cardinals and New York Yankees grades out as a toss-up based on recent outings.

New York Yankees 1.47 vs St. Louis Cardinals 2.51 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 1.08 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.94 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
New York Yankees 9.10 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.71 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 2.46 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.90 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
New York Yankees 4.34 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.44 — roughly even
New York Yankees 1.45 vs St. Louis Cardinals 1.48 — roughly even
New York Yankees 5.83 vs St. Louis Cardinals 3.18 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
New York Yankees 16.3 vs St. Louis Cardinals 20.3 — leans New York Yankees

Offense & matchup — leans New York Yankees

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees 0.418 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.393 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 0.627 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.519 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 0.404 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.426 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
New York Yankees 0.624 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.563 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 0.369 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.402 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
New York Yankees 0.506 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.492 — roughly even
New York Yankees 1.084 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.667 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees -0.050 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.009 — leans St. Louis Cardinals

Series & head-to-head — Mixed

Head-to-head history between St. Louis Cardinals and New York Yankees does not clearly favor either side.

New York Yankees 0.500 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.500 — roughly even
New York Yankees 0 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0 — roughly even

Betting Lines

New York Yankees -1.5 | O/U 7.5 (MyBookie.ag)

Final Score

St. Louis Cardinals 13, New York Yankees 7 — St. Louis Cardinals win — Model pick was incorrect

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.