← All picks for August 1, 2026
New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs
August 1, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans New York Yankees
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — Mixed
Recent form factors are roughly even between New York Yankees and Chicago Cubs, with neither team showing a clear edge in their last ten games.
- Chicago Cubs 0.600 vs New York Yankees 0.600 — roughly even
- Chicago Cubs 2.05 vs New York Yankees 0.60 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 5.45 vs New York Yankees 3.60 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 3.40 vs New York Yankees 3 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 0.333 vs New York Yankees 0.333 — roughly even
- Chicago Cubs 0.367 vs New York Yankees 0.741 — leans New York Yankees
Season to date — leans New York Yankees
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the New York Yankees.
- Chicago Cubs 4.99 vs New York Yankees 4.46 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 4.22 vs New York Yankees 3.68 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 0.429 vs New York Yankees 0.750 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 108.0 vs New York Yankees 108.7 — roughly even
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans New York Yankees
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the New York Yankees.
- Chicago Cubs 6.41 vs New York Yankees 3.03 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 1.42 vs New York Yankees 0.98 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 9.61 vs New York Yankees 7.99 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs -2.25 vs New York Yankees 3.55 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 4.91 vs New York Yankees 2.55 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 1.53 vs New York Yankees 1.02 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 4.30 vs New York Yankees 4.68 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 11.7 vs New York Yankees 10.3 — leans New York Yankees
Offense & matchup — leans Chicago Cubs
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Chicago Cubs.
- Chicago Cubs 0.441 vs New York Yankees 0.418 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 0.571 vs New York Yankees 0.627 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 0.494 vs New York Yankees 0.424 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 0.612 vs New York Yankees 0.559 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 0.409 vs New York Yankees 0.367 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 0.497 vs New York Yankees 0.495 — roughly even
- Chicago Cubs 0.910 vs New York Yankees 0.661 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs -0.032 vs New York Yankees -0.052 — leans Chicago Cubs
Series & head-to-head — leans New York Yankees
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the New York Yankees.
- Chicago Cubs 0 vs New York Yankees 1 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs -2 vs New York Yankees 2 — leans New York Yankees
Betting Lines
New York Yankees +1.5 | O/U 6.5 (LowVig.ag)
Final Score
New York Yankees 2, Chicago Cubs 5 — Chicago Cubs win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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