← All picks for July 31, 2026
New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs
July 31, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans New York Yankees
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned New York Yankees (13 edges vs 9 for Chicago Cubs).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Chicago Cubs
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Chicago Cubs.
- Chicago Cubs 0.650 vs New York Yankees 0.550 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 2.25 vs New York Yankees 0.35 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 5.75 vs New York Yankees 3.50 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 3.50 vs New York Yankees 3.15 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 0.667 vs New York Yankees 0.333 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 0.928 vs New York Yankees 0.857 — roughly even
Season to date — leans New York Yankees
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the New York Yankees.
- Chicago Cubs 5.04 vs New York Yankees 4.48 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 4.24 vs New York Yankees 3.71 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 0.571 vs New York Yankees 0.667 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 99.5 vs New York Yankees 104.9 — leans New York Yankees
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans New York Yankees
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the New York Yankees.
- Chicago Cubs 5.34 vs New York Yankees 4.67 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 1.29 vs New York Yankees 1.19 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 8.60 vs New York Yankees 9.33 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs -6.37 vs New York Yankees 1.18 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 2.37 vs New York Yankees 2.60 — roughly even
- Chicago Cubs 1.32 vs New York Yankees 1.33 — roughly even
- Chicago Cubs 3.84 vs New York Yankees 4.25 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 0 vs New York Yankees 0 — roughly even
Offense & matchup — leans New York Yankees
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the New York Yankees.
- Chicago Cubs 0.352 vs New York Yankees 0.371 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 0.363 vs New York Yankees 0.453 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 0.384 vs New York Yankees 0.471 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 0.383 vs New York Yankees 0.670 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 0.403 vs New York Yankees 0.384 — leans Chicago Cubs
- Chicago Cubs 0.494 vs New York Yankees 0.518 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 0.708 vs New York Yankees 0.794 — leans New York Yankees
- Chicago Cubs 0.051 vs New York Yankees 0.013 — leans Chicago Cubs
Series & head-to-head — Mixed
Head-to-head history between New York Yankees and Chicago Cubs does not clearly favor either side.
- Chicago Cubs 0.500 vs New York Yankees 0.500 — roughly even
- Chicago Cubs 0 vs New York Yankees 0 — roughly even
Betting Lines
Chicago Cubs -1.5 | O/U 9.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
New York Yankees 2, Chicago Cubs 0 — New York Yankees win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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