Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets

July 25, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans Los Angeles Dodgers

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Los Angeles Dodgers (22 edges vs 4 for New York Mets).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

New York Mets 0.400 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.550 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets -1.05 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.10 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 4.10 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.35 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 5.15 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.25 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.333 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.732 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.149 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Season to date — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

New York Mets 3.93 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.13 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 4.55 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.62 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.286 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.600 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 87.0 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 108.6 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

New York Mets 3.10 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.13 — roughly even
New York Mets 0.97 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.07 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 12.10 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 9.09 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets -2.09 vs Los Angeles Dodgers -2.67 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 9.21 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.20 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 2.08 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.27 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 5.75 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.25 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0 — roughly even

Offense & matchup — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

New York Mets 0.315 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.401 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.384 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.467 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.338 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.400 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.439 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.335 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.372 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.432 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.443 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.567 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.690 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.800 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.057 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.032 — leans New York Mets

Series & head-to-head — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

New York Mets 0 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets -3.25 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.25 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Betting Lines

Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 | O/U 7.5 (FanDuel)

Final Score

Los Angeles Dodgers 4, New York Mets 3 — Los Angeles Dodgers win — Model pick was correct

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.