← All picks for July 22, 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies
July 22, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Los Angeles Dodgers
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Los Angeles Dodgers (20 edges vs 4 for Philadelphia Phillies).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.500 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.550 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies -0.80 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.15 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 4.10 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.35 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 4.90 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.20 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.333 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.333 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.976 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.766 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Season to date — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Philadelphia Phillies 4.30 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.11 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 4.41 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.62 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.444 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.600 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 91.8 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 108.6 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Philadelphia Phillies 5.88 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 6.38 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 1.58 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.54 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 8.31 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.88 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies -2.97 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.15 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 8.35 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.20 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 2.02 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.27 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 5.99 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.25 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 3 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Offense & matchup — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.337 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.401 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.437 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.467 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.263 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.400 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.318 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.335 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.350 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.431 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.466 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.566 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.788 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.794 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.013 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.031 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Series & head-to-head — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.400 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.600 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies -1.40 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.40 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Betting Lines
Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 | O/U 9.5 (Kalshi)
Final Score
Los Angeles Dodgers 9, Philadelphia Phillies 5 — Los Angeles Dodgers win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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