Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees

July 18, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans New York Yankees

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Los Angeles Dodgers (13 edges vs 7 for New York Yankees).

Note: the model leans New York Yankees even though the simple edge count favors Los Angeles Dodgers. This can happen because the model weighs each input differently — a single large advantage (like a dominant pitching matchup or a significant offensive gap) can outweigh several smaller edges on the other side. The edge count treats every metric equally, but the model does not.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

New York Yankees 0.400 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.650 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees -1 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.85 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees 3.55 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.15 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees 4.55 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.30 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees 0.667 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.333 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 0.939 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.453 — leans New York Yankees

Season to date — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

New York Yankees 4.68 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.18 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees 3.77 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.65 — roughly even
New York Yankees 0.143 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.800 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees 108.7 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 108.6 — roughly even

Starting pitching (recent starts) — Mixed

The starting pitching matchup between Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees grades out as a toss-up based on recent outings.

New York Yankees 1.47 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.13 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 1.08 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.07 — roughly even
New York Yankees 9.10 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 9.09 — roughly even
New York Yankees 2.46 vs Los Angeles Dodgers -2.67 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees 0.93 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.20 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 1.24 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.27 — roughly even
New York Yankees 4.34 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.25 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees 0 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0 — roughly even

Offense & matchup — Mixed

The offensive matchup is closely contested between Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees.

New York Yankees 0.418 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.401 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 0.627 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.467 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 0.404 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.400 — roughly even
New York Yankees 0.624 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.335 — leans New York Yankees
New York Yankees 0.394 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.430 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees 0.498 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.565 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees 0.835 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.788 — roughly even
New York Yankees -0.024 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.030 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Series & head-to-head — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

New York Yankees 0 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees -1 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Betting Lines

Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 | O/U 8.5 (FanDuel)

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.