← All picks for June 21, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies
June 21, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Pittsburgh Pirates
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Pittsburgh Pirates (15 edges vs 8 for Colorado Rockies).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — Mixed
Recent form factors are roughly even between Pittsburgh Pirates and Colorado Rockies, with neither team showing a clear edge in their last ten games.
- Colorado Rockies 0.500 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.450 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies -0.55 vs Pittsburgh Pirates -0.55 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 6.05 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 5.35 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 6.60 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 5.90 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Colorado Rockies 0.667 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.333 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 0.661 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.997 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Season to date — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Colorado Rockies 4.43 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 4.97 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Colorado Rockies 5.54 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 4.82 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Colorado Rockies 0.545 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.364 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 98.3 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 101.3 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Colorado Rockies 4.29 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 4.82 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 1.43 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 1.61 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 6 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 9.64 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Colorado Rockies -1.26 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 8.10 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 5.81 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Colorado Rockies 1.91 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 1.52 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Colorado Rockies 5.80 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 4.77 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Colorado Rockies 0 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0 — roughly even
Offense & matchup — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Colorado Rockies 0.390 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.405 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Colorado Rockies 0.484 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.476 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 0.374 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.469 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Colorado Rockies 0.480 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.558 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Colorado Rockies 0.393 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.443 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Colorado Rockies 0.483 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.545 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Colorado Rockies 0.945 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.957 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 0.002 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.039 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Series & head-to-head — leans Colorado Rockies
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Colorado Rockies.
- Colorado Rockies 0.600 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.400 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 0.20 vs Pittsburgh Pirates -0.20 — leans Colorado Rockies
Betting Lines
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 | O/U 11.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
Pittsburgh Pirates 8, Colorado Rockies 6 — Pittsburgh Pirates win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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