Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers

June 13, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans Milwaukee Brewers

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Milwaukee Brewers (15 edges vs 8 for Philadelphia Phillies).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers 0.650 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.600 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 1.70 vs Philadelphia Phillies -0.05 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 6.05 vs Philadelphia Phillies 3.55 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 4.35 vs Philadelphia Phillies 3.60 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers 0.333 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.333 — roughly even
Milwaukee Brewers 0.771 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.845 — roughly even

Season to date — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers 5.19 vs Philadelphia Phillies 3.94 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 3.61 vs Philadelphia Phillies 4.23 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.636 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.600 — roughly even
Milwaukee Brewers 95.9 vs Philadelphia Phillies 91.8 — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Philadelphia Phillies

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.

Milwaukee Brewers 4.15 vs Philadelphia Phillies 5.88 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 1.46 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1.58 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 6.92 vs Philadelphia Phillies 8.31 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers 0 vs Philadelphia Phillies -2.97 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers 4.81 vs Philadelphia Phillies 2.33 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers 1.36 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1.24 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers 6.18 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1.55 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers 19.3 vs Philadelphia Phillies 12 — leans Philadelphia Phillies

Offense & matchup — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers 0.386 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.337 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.402 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.437 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers 0.482 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.263 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.557 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.318 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.415 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.369 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.482 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.498 — roughly even
Milwaukee Brewers 0.800 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.643 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.029 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.032 — roughly even

Series & head-to-head — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers 1 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 6 vs Philadelphia Phillies -6 — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Betting Lines

Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | O/U 8.5 (FanDuel)

Final Score

Philadelphia Phillies 9, Milwaukee Brewers 8 — Philadelphia Phillies win — Model pick was incorrect

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.