Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates

May 14, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans Pittsburgh Pirates

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Pittsburgh Pirates (17 edges vs 4 for Colorado Rockies).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Pittsburgh Pirates

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates 0.500 vs Colorado Rockies 0.350 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates 0.30 vs Colorado Rockies -0.80 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates 4.95 vs Colorado Rockies 4.30 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates 4.65 vs Colorado Rockies 5.10 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates 0.333 vs Colorado Rockies 0.333 — roughly even
Pittsburgh Pirates 0.875 vs Colorado Rockies 0.853 — roughly even

Season to date — leans Pittsburgh Pirates

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates 4.95 vs Colorado Rockies 4.13 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates 4.33 vs Colorado Rockies 4.82 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates 0.444 vs Colorado Rockies 0.500 — leans Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates 101.3 vs Colorado Rockies 98.3 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Pittsburgh Pirates

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates 0 vs Colorado Rockies 2.92 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates 0.60 vs Colorado Rockies 1.05 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates 9 vs Colorado Rockies 10.22 — leans Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates 0 vs Colorado Rockies -1.75 — leans Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates 6.52 vs Colorado Rockies 7.62 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates 1.29 vs Colorado Rockies 1.62 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates 3.00 vs Colorado Rockies 4.45 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates 0 vs Colorado Rockies 0 — roughly even

Offense & matchup — leans Pittsburgh Pirates

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates 0.405 vs Colorado Rockies 0.390 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates 0.476 vs Colorado Rockies 0.484 — roughly even
Pittsburgh Pirates 0.469 vs Colorado Rockies 0.409 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates 0.558 vs Colorado Rockies 0.542 — roughly even
Pittsburgh Pirates 0.398 vs Colorado Rockies 0.371 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates 0.476 vs Colorado Rockies 0.482 — roughly even
Pittsburgh Pirates 0.835 vs Colorado Rockies 0.702 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates -0.007 vs Colorado Rockies -0.019 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates

Series & head-to-head — leans Colorado Rockies

Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Colorado Rockies.

Pittsburgh Pirates 0.500 vs Colorado Rockies 0.500 — roughly even
Pittsburgh Pirates -2 vs Colorado Rockies 2 — leans Colorado Rockies

Betting Lines

Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 | O/U 7.5 (FanDuel)

Final Score

Colorado Rockies 2, Pittsburgh Pirates 7 — Pittsburgh Pirates win — Model pick was correct

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.