← All picks for May 11, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 11, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Los Angeles Dodgers
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Los Angeles Dodgers (16 edges vs 10 for San Francisco Giants).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.450 vs San Francisco Giants 0.350 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.90 vs San Francisco Giants -1.50 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 4.40 vs San Francisco Giants 2.75 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 3.50 vs San Francisco Giants 4.25 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.333 vs San Francisco Giants 0.667 — leans San Francisco Giants
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.530 vs San Francisco Giants 1.818 — leans San Francisco Giants
Season to date — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Los Angeles Dodgers 5.08 vs San Francisco Giants 3.17 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 3.35 vs San Francisco Giants 4.34 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.444 vs San Francisco Giants 0 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 108.6 vs San Francisco Giants 87.8 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans San Francisco Giants
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the San Francisco Giants.
- Los Angeles Dodgers 6.57 vs San Francisco Giants 1.64 — leans San Francisco Giants
- Los Angeles Dodgers 1.70 vs San Francisco Giants 0.77 — leans San Francisco Giants
- Los Angeles Dodgers 8.03 vs San Francisco Giants 9 — leans San Francisco Giants
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.49 vs San Francisco Giants 0 — leans San Francisco Giants
- Los Angeles Dodgers 2.04 vs San Francisco Giants 3.06 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 1.02 vs San Francisco Giants 1.42 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 1.57 vs San Francisco Giants 4.40 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0 vs San Francisco Giants 0 — roughly even
Offense & matchup — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.401 vs San Francisco Giants 0.327 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.467 vs San Francisco Giants 0.418 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.400 vs San Francisco Giants 0.391 — roughly even
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.335 vs San Francisco Giants 0.568 — leans San Francisco Giants
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.413 vs San Francisco Giants 0.354 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.521 vs San Francisco Giants 0.468 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.678 vs San Francisco Giants 0.447 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.013 vs San Francisco Giants 0.027 — leans San Francisco Giants
Series & head-to-head — leans San Francisco Giants
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the San Francisco Giants.
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.333 vs San Francisco Giants 0.667 — leans San Francisco Giants
- Los Angeles Dodgers -0.67 vs San Francisco Giants 0.67 — leans San Francisco Giants
Betting Lines
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | O/U 9.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
San Francisco Giants 9, Los Angeles Dodgers 3 — San Francisco Giants win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
Please gamble responsibly.