← All picks for May 10, 2026
Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 10, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Philadelphia Phillies
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Philadelphia Phillies (14 edges vs 10 for Colorado Rockies).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.500 vs Colorado Rockies 0.350 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0 vs Colorado Rockies -0.95 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 4.45 vs Colorado Rockies 4.30 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 4.45 vs Colorado Rockies 5.25 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.333 vs Colorado Rockies 0.667 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 1.273 vs Colorado Rockies 1.395 — leans Colorado Rockies
Season to date — leans Colorado Rockies
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Colorado Rockies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 4 vs Colorado Rockies 4.17 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 4.93 vs Colorado Rockies 4.86 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.667 vs Colorado Rockies 0.556 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 91.8 vs Colorado Rockies 98.3 — leans Colorado Rockies
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 3.72 vs Colorado Rockies 4.10 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 1.72 vs Colorado Rockies 1.25 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 10.24 vs Colorado Rockies 4.44 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies -1.24 vs Colorado Rockies 1.74 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 4.09 vs Colorado Rockies 7.62 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 1.59 vs Colorado Rockies 1.62 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 2.33 vs Colorado Rockies 4.45 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 3 vs Colorado Rockies 3.7 — roughly even
Offense & matchup — leans Colorado Rockies
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Colorado Rockies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.337 vs Colorado Rockies 0.390 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.437 vs Colorado Rockies 0.484 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.307 vs Colorado Rockies 0.409 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.411 vs Colorado Rockies 0.542 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.381 vs Colorado Rockies 0.369 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.485 vs Colorado Rockies 0.459 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.661 vs Colorado Rockies 0.963 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.045 vs Colorado Rockies -0.021 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Series & head-to-head — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.600 vs Colorado Rockies 0.400 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 2.20 vs Colorado Rockies -2.20 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Betting Lines
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | O/U 8.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
Colorado Rockies 0, Philadelphia Phillies 6 — Philadelphia Phillies win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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