← All picks for May 9, 2026
Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 9, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Colorado Rockies
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Colorado Rockies (16 edges vs 6 for Philadelphia Phillies).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Colorado Rockies
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Colorado Rockies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.450 vs Colorado Rockies 0.400 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies -0.40 vs Colorado Rockies -0.50 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 4.10 vs Colorado Rockies 4.60 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 4.50 vs Colorado Rockies 5.10 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.333 vs Colorado Rockies 0.667 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 1.138 vs Colorado Rockies 1.449 — leans Colorado Rockies
Season to date — leans Colorado Rockies
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Colorado Rockies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 3.88 vs Colorado Rockies 4.20 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 4.97 vs Colorado Rockies 4.76 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.556 vs Colorado Rockies 0.625 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 91.8 vs Colorado Rockies 98.3 — leans Colorado Rockies
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 5.88 vs Colorado Rockies 5.04 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 1.58 vs Colorado Rockies 1.36 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 8.31 vs Colorado Rockies 8.64 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies -2.97 vs Colorado Rockies -2.80 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 4.09 vs Colorado Rockies 7.62 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 1.59 vs Colorado Rockies 1.62 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 2.33 vs Colorado Rockies 4.45 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 5.7 vs Colorado Rockies 16.7 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Offense & matchup — leans Colorado Rockies
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Colorado Rockies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.337 vs Colorado Rockies 0.390 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.437 vs Colorado Rockies 0.484 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.263 vs Colorado Rockies 0.374 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.318 vs Colorado Rockies 0.480 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.378 vs Colorado Rockies 0.409 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.489 vs Colorado Rockies 0.531 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.667 vs Colorado Rockies 0.939 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.042 vs Colorado Rockies 0.018 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Series & head-to-head — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.500 vs Colorado Rockies 0.500 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 1.25 vs Colorado Rockies -1.25 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Betting Lines
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | O/U 8.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
Colorado Rockies 3, Philadelphia Phillies 9 — Philadelphia Phillies win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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