← All picks for May 7, 2026
Athletics vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 7, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Philadelphia Phillies
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Philadelphia Phillies (12 edges vs 11 for Athletics).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.450 vs Athletics 0.500 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies -0.30 vs Athletics -0.60 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 3.75 vs Athletics 4.45 — leans Athletics
- Philadelphia Phillies 4.05 vs Athletics 5.05 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 1 vs Athletics 0.333 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 1.422 vs Athletics 0.824 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Season to date — leans Athletics
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Athletics.
- Philadelphia Phillies 3.87 vs Athletics 4.25 — leans Athletics
- Philadelphia Phillies 4.68 vs Athletics 4.83 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.556 vs Athletics 0.500 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 91.8 vs Athletics 100.8 — leans Athletics
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 6.08 vs Athletics 4.03 — leans Athletics
- Philadelphia Phillies 1.73 vs Athletics 1.30 — leans Athletics
- Philadelphia Phillies 7.61 vs Athletics 7.66 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies -2.98 vs Athletics -2.16 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 4.09 vs Athletics 5.92 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 1.59 vs Athletics 1.56 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 2.33 vs Athletics 6.35 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 11.7 vs Athletics 11.3 — roughly even
Offense & matchup — leans Athletics
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Athletics.
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.337 vs Athletics 0.406 — leans Athletics
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.437 vs Athletics 0.503 — leans Athletics
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.307 vs Athletics 0.430 — leans Athletics
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.411 vs Athletics 0.611 — leans Athletics
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.363 vs Athletics 0.396 — leans Athletics
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.480 vs Athletics 0.510 — leans Athletics
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.782 vs Athletics 0.667 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.026 vs Athletics -0.010 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Series & head-to-head — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 1 vs Athletics 0 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 5.50 vs Athletics -5.50 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Betting Lines
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | O/U 9.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
Athletics 12, Philadelphia Phillies 1 — Athletics win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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