← All picks for September 26, 2025
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Seattle Mariners
September 26, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Los Angeles Dodgers
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Seattle Mariners (17 edges vs 5 for Los Angeles Dodgers).
Note: the model leans Los Angeles Dodgers even though the simple edge count favors Seattle Mariners. This can happen because the model weighs each input differently — a single large advantage (like a dominant pitching matchup or a significant offensive gap) can outweigh several smaller edges on the other side. The edge count treats every metric equally, but the model does not.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Seattle Mariners
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Seattle Mariners.
- Seattle Mariners 0.850 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.600 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners 3.20 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.90 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners 6.30 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.20 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners 3.10 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.30 — roughly even
- Seattle Mariners 1 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.667 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners 1.005 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.090 — roughly even
Season to date — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Seattle Mariners 4.78 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.10 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Seattle Mariners 4.28 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.26 — roughly even
- Seattle Mariners 1 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.500 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners 101.9 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 105.3 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Seattle Mariners
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Seattle Mariners.
- Seattle Mariners 5.40 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.42 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Seattle Mariners 1.33 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.67 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Seattle Mariners 13.11 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 12.43 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners 6.23 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.79 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Seattle Mariners 4.05 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.48 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners 1.30 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.41 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners 2.85 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.62 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners 13 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 16.7 — leans Seattle Mariners
Offense & matchup — leans Seattle Mariners
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Seattle Mariners.
- Seattle Mariners 0.412 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.379 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners 0.592 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.562 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners 0.420 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.309 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners 0.531 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.429 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners 0.406 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.373 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners 0.527 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.485 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners 0.625 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.522 — leans Seattle Mariners
- Seattle Mariners -0.007 vs Los Angeles Dodgers -0.006 — roughly even
Series & head-to-head — Mixed
Head-to-head history between Los Angeles Dodgers and Seattle Mariners does not clearly favor either side.
- Seattle Mariners 0.500 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.500 — roughly even
- Seattle Mariners 0 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0 — roughly even
Betting Lines
Seattle Mariners -1.5 | O/U 7.5 (BetRivers)
Final Score
Los Angeles Dodgers 3, Seattle Mariners 2 — Los Angeles Dodgers win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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