← All picks for September 4, 2025
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates
September 4, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Pittsburgh Pirates
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Pittsburgh Pirates (12 edges vs 10 for Los Angeles Dodgers).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Pittsburgh Pirates 0.600 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.500 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Pittsburgh Pirates 0.35 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.70 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Pittsburgh Pirates 4.25 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.60 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Pittsburgh Pirates 3.90 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.90 — roughly even
- Pittsburgh Pirates 0.667 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.333 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Pittsburgh Pirates 1.098 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.870 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Season to date — Mixed
Season-to-date metrics are closely matched between Los Angeles Dodgers and Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Pittsburgh Pirates 3.63 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.09 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Pittsburgh Pirates 4.04 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.40 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Pittsburgh Pirates 0.875 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.273 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Pittsburgh Pirates 91.4 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 105.1 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting pitching (recent starts) — Mixed
The starting pitching matchup between Los Angeles Dodgers and Pittsburgh Pirates grades out as a toss-up based on recent outings.
- Pittsburgh Pirates 2.17 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 2.54 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Pittsburgh Pirates 1.10 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.16 — roughly even
- Pittsburgh Pirates 10.24 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 10.80 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Pittsburgh Pirates 3.38 vs Los Angeles Dodgers -0.53 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Pittsburgh Pirates 3.91 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 6 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Pittsburgh Pirates 1.34 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.61 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Pittsburgh Pirates 3.97 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.88 — roughly even
- Pittsburgh Pirates 23 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 14 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Offense & matchup — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Pittsburgh Pirates 0.389 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.370 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Pittsburgh Pirates 0.468 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.471 — roughly even
- Pittsburgh Pirates 0.371 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.379 — roughly even
- Pittsburgh Pirates 0.464 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.435 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Pittsburgh Pirates 0.373 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.383 — roughly even
- Pittsburgh Pirates 0.442 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.500 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Pittsburgh Pirates 1.073 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.667 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Pittsburgh Pirates -0.016 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.013 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Series & head-to-head — Mixed
Head-to-head history between Los Angeles Dodgers and Pittsburgh Pirates does not clearly favor either side.
- Pittsburgh Pirates 0.600 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.400 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Pittsburgh Pirates -0.60 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.60 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Betting Lines
Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 | O/U 6.5 (MyBookie.ag)
Final Score
Los Angeles Dodgers 3, Pittsburgh Pirates 5 — Pittsburgh Pirates win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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