← All picks for August 28, 2025
Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros
August 28, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Houston Astros
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Houston Astros (21 edges vs 5 for Colorado Rockies).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Houston Astros
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Houston Astros.
- Houston Astros 0.500 vs Colorado Rockies 0.400 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros -1.35 vs Colorado Rockies -2.55 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 3.95 vs Colorado Rockies 3.70 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 5.30 vs Colorado Rockies 6.25 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 0.333 vs Colorado Rockies 0.333 — roughly even
- Houston Astros 0.591 vs Colorado Rockies 0.541 — roughly even
Season to date — leans Houston Astros
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Houston Astros.
- Houston Astros 4.25 vs Colorado Rockies 3.65 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 4.11 vs Colorado Rockies 6.21 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 0.500 vs Colorado Rockies 0.273 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 98.7 vs Colorado Rockies 93.2 — leans Houston Astros
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Houston Astros
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Houston Astros.
- Houston Astros 1.93 vs Colorado Rockies 5.62 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 0.96 vs Colorado Rockies 1.50 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 7.71 vs Colorado Rockies 6.38 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 1.70 vs Colorado Rockies 4.05 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 3.09 vs Colorado Rockies 2.38 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Houston Astros 0.99 vs Colorado Rockies 1.10 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 4.09 vs Colorado Rockies 5.00 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 16.7 vs Colorado Rockies 14.3 — leans Colorado Rockies
Offense & matchup — leans Houston Astros
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Houston Astros.
- Houston Astros 0.353 vs Colorado Rockies 0.331 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 0.454 vs Colorado Rockies 0.426 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 0.375 vs Colorado Rockies 0.291 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 0.500 vs Colorado Rockies 0.349 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 0.376 vs Colorado Rockies 0.388 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Houston Astros 0.460 vs Colorado Rockies 0.529 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Houston Astros 0.957 vs Colorado Rockies 0.151 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 0.023 vs Colorado Rockies 0.057 — leans Colorado Rockies
Series & head-to-head — leans Houston Astros
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Houston Astros.
- Houston Astros 0.600 vs Colorado Rockies 0.400 — leans Houston Astros
- Houston Astros 0.20 vs Colorado Rockies -0.20 — leans Houston Astros
Betting Lines
Houston Astros -1.5 | O/U 8.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
Colorado Rockies 3, Houston Astros 4 — Houston Astros win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
Please gamble responsibly.