← All picks for August 24, 2025
St. Louis Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Rays
August 24, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans St. Louis Cardinals
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned St. Louis Cardinals (12 edges vs 10 for Tampa Bay Rays).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — Mixed
Recent form factors are roughly even between St. Louis Cardinals and Tampa Bay Rays, with neither team showing a clear edge in their last ten games.
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.400 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.450 — roughly even
- Tampa Bay Rays -1.25 vs St. Louis Cardinals -0.90 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
- Tampa Bay Rays 3.80 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.40 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
- Tampa Bay Rays 5.05 vs St. Louis Cardinals 5.30 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.333 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.333 — roughly even
- Tampa Bay Rays 1.579 vs St. Louis Cardinals 1.136 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
Season to date — Mixed
Season-to-date metrics are closely matched between St. Louis Cardinals and Tampa Bay Rays.
- Tampa Bay Rays 4.47 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.20 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 4.26 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.40 — roughly even
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.286 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.545 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
- Tampa Bay Rays 97.5 vs St. Louis Cardinals 97.4 — roughly even
Starting pitching (recent starts) — Mixed
The starting pitching matchup between St. Louis Cardinals and Tampa Bay Rays grades out as a toss-up based on recent outings.
- Tampa Bay Rays 5.53 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.15 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
- Tampa Bay Rays 1.34 vs St. Louis Cardinals 1.48 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 9.11 vs St. Louis Cardinals 5.40 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 1.66 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.63 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
- Tampa Bay Rays 6.38 vs St. Louis Cardinals 3.52 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
- Tampa Bay Rays 1.25 vs St. Louis Cardinals 1.43 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 7.02 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.23 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
- Tampa Bay Rays 17.7 vs St. Louis Cardinals 19 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
Offense & matchup — leans St. Louis Cardinals
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.332 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.359 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.457 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.438 — roughly even
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.350 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.380 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.473 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.442 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.364 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.407 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.484 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.513 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.782 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.435 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.033 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.048 — leans St. Louis Cardinals
Series & head-to-head — leans Tampa Bay Rays
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.500 vs St. Louis Cardinals 0.500 — roughly even
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.50 vs St. Louis Cardinals -0.50 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
Betting Lines
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 | O/U 9.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
St. Louis Cardinals 2, Tampa Bay Rays 7 — Tampa Bay Rays win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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