New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers

August 9, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans Milwaukee Brewers

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Milwaukee Brewers (15 edges vs 10 for New York Mets).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers 0.800 vs New York Mets 0.400 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 2.70 vs New York Mets -0.60 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 6.20 vs New York Mets 3.95 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 3.50 vs New York Mets 4.55 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 1 vs New York Mets 0 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.806 vs New York Mets 0.422 — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Season to date — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers 4.90 vs New York Mets 4.23 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 3.80 vs New York Mets 3.94 — roughly even
Milwaukee Brewers 0.625 vs New York Mets 0.375 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 99.8 vs New York Mets 99.3 — roughly even

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans New York Mets

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the New York Mets.

Milwaukee Brewers 3.94 vs New York Mets 0 — leans New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers 1.50 vs New York Mets 0.38 — leans New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers 7.31 vs New York Mets 13.50 — leans New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers -2.79 vs New York Mets 0 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 4.79 vs New York Mets 3.20 — leans New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers 1.50 vs New York Mets 1.18 — leans New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers 3.68 vs New York Mets 2.63 — leans New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers 13.7 vs New York Mets 16.3 — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Offense & matchup — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers 0.417 vs New York Mets 0.346 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.530 vs New York Mets 0.412 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.448 vs New York Mets 0.300 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.559 vs New York Mets 0.368 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.401 vs New York Mets 0.406 — roughly even
Milwaukee Brewers 0.482 vs New York Mets 0.528 — leans New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers 0.696 vs New York Mets 0.800 — leans New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers -0.016 vs New York Mets 0.060 — leans New York Mets

Series & head-to-head — Mixed

Head-to-head history between New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers does not clearly favor either side.

Milwaukee Brewers 0.400 vs New York Mets 0.600 — leans New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers 0.20 vs New York Mets -0.20 — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Betting Lines

Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | O/U 9.5 (FanDuel)

Final Score

New York Mets 4, Milwaukee Brewers 7 — Milwaukee Brewers win — Model pick was correct

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.