← All picks for August 3, 2025
New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins
August 3, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Miami Marlins
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Miami Marlins
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Miami Marlins.
- Miami Marlins 0.650 vs New York Yankees 0.500 — leans Miami Marlins
- Miami Marlins 1.15 vs New York Yankees -0.30 — leans Miami Marlins
- Miami Marlins 4.65 vs New York Yankees 5.20 — leans New York Yankees
- Miami Marlins 3.50 vs New York Yankees 5.50 — leans Miami Marlins
- Miami Marlins 1 vs New York Yankees 0.333 — leans Miami Marlins
- Miami Marlins 1.219 vs New York Yankees 1.218 — roughly even
Season to date — leans New York Yankees
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the New York Yankees.
- Miami Marlins 4.25 vs New York Yankees 5.14 — leans New York Yankees
- Miami Marlins 4.65 vs New York Yankees 4.29 — leans New York Yankees
- Miami Marlins 0.750 vs New York Yankees 0.375 — leans Miami Marlins
- Miami Marlins 97.9 vs New York Yankees 106.6 — leans New York Yankees
Starting pitching (recent starts) — Mixed
The starting pitching matchup between New York Yankees and Miami Marlins grades out as a toss-up based on recent outings.
- Miami Marlins 2.43 vs New York Yankees 4 — leans Miami Marlins
- Miami Marlins 0.94 vs New York Yankees 1.19 — leans Miami Marlins
- Miami Marlins 8.19 vs New York Yankees 9 — leans New York Yankees
- Miami Marlins -1.58 vs New York Yankees -3.62 — leans New York Yankees
- Miami Marlins 5.31 vs New York Yankees 4.37 — leans New York Yankees
- Miami Marlins 1.57 vs New York Yankees 1.28 — leans New York Yankees
- Miami Marlins 3.25 vs New York Yankees 3.94 — leans Miami Marlins
- Miami Marlins 17 vs New York Yankees 22.7 — leans Miami Marlins
Offense & matchup — leans New York Yankees
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the New York Yankees.
- Miami Marlins 0.371 vs New York Yankees 0.352 — leans Miami Marlins
- Miami Marlins 0.488 vs New York Yankees 0.501 — roughly even
- Miami Marlins 0.299 vs New York Yankees 0.370 — leans New York Yankees
- Miami Marlins 0.424 vs New York Yankees 0.503 — leans New York Yankees
- Miami Marlins 0.399 vs New York Yankees 0.390 — roughly even
- Miami Marlins 0.500 vs New York Yankees 0.545 — leans New York Yankees
- Miami Marlins 0.690 vs New York Yankees 0.667 — roughly even
- Miami Marlins 0.028 vs New York Yankees 0.038 — leans New York Yankees
Series & head-to-head — leans Miami Marlins
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Miami Marlins.
- Miami Marlins 1 vs New York Yankees 0 — leans Miami Marlins
- Miami Marlins 1.50 vs New York Yankees -1.50 — leans Miami Marlins
Betting Lines
New York Yankees +1.5 | O/U 7.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
New York Yankees 3, Miami Marlins 7 — Miami Marlins win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
Please gamble responsibly.