Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

July 29, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans Milwaukee Brewers

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Milwaukee Brewers (15 edges vs 9 for Chicago Cubs).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers 0.750 vs Chicago Cubs 0.550 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 1.95 vs Chicago Cubs 0.20 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 4.90 vs Chicago Cubs 4.70 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 2.95 vs Chicago Cubs 4.50 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.667 vs Chicago Cubs 0.667 — roughly even
Milwaukee Brewers 1.020 vs Chicago Cubs 1.064 — roughly even

Season to date — Mixed

Season-to-date metrics are closely matched between Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers 4.68 vs Chicago Cubs 5.21 — leans Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers 3.79 vs Chicago Cubs 4.16 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.800 vs Chicago Cubs 0.500 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 98.2 vs Chicago Cubs 104.3 — leans Chicago Cubs

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers 2.35 vs Chicago Cubs 3.14 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.95 vs Chicago Cubs 0.98 — roughly even
Milwaukee Brewers 10.57 vs Chicago Cubs 5.97 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 2.31 vs Chicago Cubs 1.59 — leans Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers 2.82 vs Chicago Cubs 5.23 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 1.12 vs Chicago Cubs 1.21 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 3.68 vs Chicago Cubs 5.91 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 22.3 vs Chicago Cubs 20.7 — leans Chicago Cubs

Offense & matchup — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers 0.393 vs Chicago Cubs 0.372 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.474 vs Chicago Cubs 0.498 — leans Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers 0.355 vs Chicago Cubs 0.401 — leans Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers 0.414 vs Chicago Cubs 0.432 — roughly even
Milwaukee Brewers 0.407 vs Chicago Cubs 0.364 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.474 vs Chicago Cubs 0.506 — leans Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers 0.696 vs Chicago Cubs 0.382 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.014 vs Chicago Cubs -0.008 — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Series & head-to-head — leans Chicago Cubs

Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Chicago Cubs.

Milwaukee Brewers 0.429 vs Chicago Cubs 0.571 — leans Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers -1 vs Chicago Cubs 1 — leans Chicago Cubs

Betting Lines

Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | O/U 8.5 (FanDuel)

Final Score

Chicago Cubs 3, Milwaukee Brewers 9 — Milwaukee Brewers win — Model pick was correct

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.