Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets

July 2, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans Milwaukee Brewers

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Milwaukee Brewers (16 edges vs 7 for New York Mets).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

New York Mets 0.350 vs Milwaukee Brewers 0.600 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets -2.05 vs Milwaukee Brewers 1.60 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets 3.80 vs Milwaukee Brewers 5.25 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets 5.85 vs Milwaukee Brewers 3.65 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets 0 vs Milwaukee Brewers 0.667 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets 0.351 vs Milwaukee Brewers 1.143 — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Season to date — Mixed

Season-to-date metrics are closely matched between Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets.

New York Mets 4.28 vs Milwaukee Brewers 4.67 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets 3.83 vs Milwaukee Brewers 4.01 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.500 vs Milwaukee Brewers 0.667 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets 102.0 vs Milwaukee Brewers 96.8 — leans New York Mets

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

New York Mets 2.93 vs Milwaukee Brewers 3.21 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 1.23 vs Milwaukee Brewers 1.04 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets 6.18 vs Milwaukee Brewers 10.29 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets -0.66 vs Milwaukee Brewers -0.76 — roughly even
New York Mets 6.68 vs Milwaukee Brewers 2.78 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets 1.55 vs Milwaukee Brewers 1.06 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets 5.30 vs Milwaukee Brewers 2.53 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets 24.3 vs Milwaukee Brewers 14.3 — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Offense & matchup — leans New York Mets

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the New York Mets.

New York Mets 0.353 vs Milwaukee Brewers 0.401 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets 0.466 vs Milwaukee Brewers 0.506 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets 0.385 vs Milwaukee Brewers 0.361 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.525 vs Milwaukee Brewers 0.434 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.402 vs Milwaukee Brewers 0.399 — roughly even
New York Mets 0.530 vs Milwaukee Brewers 0.466 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.667 vs Milwaukee Brewers 0.684 — roughly even
New York Mets 0.049 vs Milwaukee Brewers -0.002 — leans New York Mets

Series & head-to-head — Mixed

Head-to-head history between Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets does not clearly favor either side.

New York Mets 0.500 vs Milwaukee Brewers 0.500 — roughly even
New York Mets 0 vs Milwaukee Brewers 0 — roughly even

Betting Lines

Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 | O/U 8.5 (FanDuel)

Final Score

Milwaukee Brewers 7, New York Mets 2 — Milwaukee Brewers win — Model pick was correct

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.