Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers

June 24, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans Milwaukee Brewers

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Milwaukee Brewers (18 edges vs 5 for Pittsburgh Pirates).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers 0.550 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.500 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 1.10 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.05 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 4.60 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 3.40 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 3.50 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 3.35 — roughly even
Milwaukee Brewers 0.667 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.667 — roughly even
Milwaukee Brewers 1.594 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 1.471 — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Season to date — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers 4.58 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 3.23 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 4.08 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 3.98 — roughly even
Milwaukee Brewers 0.455 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.333 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 96.0 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 89.3 — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers 3.21 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 6.07 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 1.11 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 1.31 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 9.64 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 6.41 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 1.99 vs Pittsburgh Pirates -1.59 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers 4.76 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 3.55 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers 1.50 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 1.18 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers 4.20 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 4.05 — roughly even
Milwaukee Brewers 25.7 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 29.3 — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Offense & matchup — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers 0.388 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.350 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.475 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.394 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.444 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.365 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.603 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.412 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.391 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.363 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.419 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.430 — roughly even
Milwaukee Brewers 0.765 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.400 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 0.003 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.013 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates

Series & head-to-head — Mixed

Head-to-head history between Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers does not clearly favor either side.

Milwaukee Brewers 0.400 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.600 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers 0.20 vs Pittsburgh Pirates -0.20 — leans Milwaukee Brewers

Betting Lines

Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | O/U 7.5 (BetOnline.ag)

Final Score

Pittsburgh Pirates 3, Milwaukee Brewers 9 — Milwaukee Brewers win — Model pick was correct

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.