New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers

June 5, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans New York Mets

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned New York Mets (15 edges vs 12 for Los Angeles Dodgers).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans New York Mets

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the New York Mets.

Los Angeles Dodgers 0.500 vs New York Mets 0.600 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 1.35 vs New York Mets 0.20 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 6.20 vs New York Mets 3.60 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 4.85 vs New York Mets 3.40 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.333 vs New York Mets 0.667 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.538 vs New York Mets 1.389 — leans New York Mets

Season to date — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers 5.69 vs New York Mets 4.37 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 4.48 vs New York Mets 3.22 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.500 vs New York Mets 0.444 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 110.1 vs New York Mets 101.6 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans New York Mets

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the New York Mets.

Los Angeles Dodgers 3.71 vs New York Mets 2.30 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 1.24 vs New York Mets 1.15 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 9.11 vs New York Mets 8.33 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 1.32 vs New York Mets 0.78 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 4.18 vs New York Mets 3.22 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 1.31 vs New York Mets 1.39 — roughly even
Los Angeles Dodgers 3.06 vs New York Mets 4.26 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 20.7 vs New York Mets 16.3 — leans New York Mets

Offense & matchup — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers 0.402 vs New York Mets 0.365 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.551 vs New York Mets 0.427 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.322 vs New York Mets 0.404 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.446 vs New York Mets 0.536 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.419 vs New York Mets 0.389 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.581 vs New York Mets 0.484 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.806 vs New York Mets 0.673 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.017 vs New York Mets 0.024 — leans New York Mets

Series & head-to-head — leans New York Mets

Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the New York Mets.

Los Angeles Dodgers 0.333 vs New York Mets 0.667 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.33 vs New York Mets 1.33 — leans New York Mets

Betting Lines

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | O/U 9.5 (FanDuel)

Final Score

New York Mets 5, Los Angeles Dodgers 6 — Los Angeles Dodgers win — Model pick was incorrect

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.