New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers

June 2, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans Los Angeles Dodgers

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Los Angeles Dodgers (16 edges vs 9 for New York Mets).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans New York Mets

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the New York Mets.

Los Angeles Dodgers 0.500 vs New York Mets 0.600 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 1.30 vs New York Mets 0.15 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 6.15 vs New York Mets 3.60 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 4.85 vs New York Mets 3.45 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.667 vs New York Mets 1 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 1.572 vs New York Mets 1.574 — roughly even

Season to date — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers 5.81 vs New York Mets 4.33 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 4.46 vs New York Mets 3.22 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.500 vs New York Mets 0.333 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 110.7 vs New York Mets 101.9 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Starting pitching (recent starts) — Mixed

The starting pitching matchup between New York Mets and Los Angeles Dodgers grades out as a toss-up based on recent outings.

Los Angeles Dodgers 3.77 vs New York Mets 5.01 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 1.26 vs New York Mets 1.46 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 10.99 vs New York Mets 6.94 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 2.02 vs New York Mets 0.45 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 5.06 vs New York Mets 3.05 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 1.55 vs New York Mets 1.21 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers 3.24 vs New York Mets 3.44 — roughly even
Los Angeles Dodgers 14.3 vs New York Mets 14 — roughly even

Offense & matchup — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers 0.405 vs New York Mets 0.372 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.554 vs New York Mets 0.432 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.466 vs New York Mets 0.417 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.659 vs New York Mets 0.530 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.447 vs New York Mets 0.392 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.621 vs New York Mets 0.506 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.782 vs New York Mets 0.580 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.042 vs New York Mets 0.019 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Series & head-to-head — leans New York Mets

Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the New York Mets.

Los Angeles Dodgers 0.333 vs New York Mets 0.667 — leans New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers -1 vs New York Mets 1 — leans New York Mets

Betting Lines

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | O/U 9.5 (BetOnline.ag)

Final Score

New York Mets 4, Los Angeles Dodgers 3 — New York Mets win — Model pick was incorrect

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.