New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers

May 31, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans New York Yankees

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned New York Yankees (13 edges vs 9 for Los Angeles Dodgers).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans New York Yankees

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the New York Yankees.

Los Angeles Dodgers 0.500 vs New York Yankees 0.750 — leans New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.75 vs New York Yankees 2.50 — leans New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers 5.95 vs New York Yankees 5.40 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 5.20 vs New York Yankees 2.90 — leans New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.667 vs New York Yankees 0.667 — roughly even
Los Angeles Dodgers 1.176 vs New York Yankees 0.556 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Season to date — leans New York Yankees

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the New York Yankees.

Los Angeles Dodgers 5.65 vs New York Yankees 5.44 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 4.46 vs New York Yankees 3.51 — leans New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.500 vs New York Yankees 0.692 — leans New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers 109.9 vs New York Yankees 110.7 — roughly even

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans New York Yankees

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the New York Yankees.

Los Angeles Dodgers 4.32 vs New York Yankees 2.70 — leans New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers 1.24 vs New York Yankees 1.12 — leans New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers 8.28 vs New York Yankees 13.84 — leans New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers -0.34 vs New York Yankees 2.24 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 4.50 vs New York Yankees 2 — leans New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers 1.50 vs New York Yankees 1.17 — leans New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers 3.45 vs New York Yankees 2.99 — leans New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers 12 vs New York Yankees 13 — roughly even

Offense & matchup — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers 0.410 vs New York Yankees 0.394 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.532 vs New York Yankees 0.547 — roughly even
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.396 vs New York Yankees 0.337 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.456 vs New York Yankees 0.452 — roughly even
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.409 vs New York Yankees 0.395 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.495 vs New York Yankees 0.539 — leans New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.637 vs New York Yankees 0.806 — leans New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers -0.001 vs New York Yankees 0.001 — roughly even

Series & head-to-head — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers 1 vs New York Yankees 0 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 3 vs New York Yankees -3 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Betting Lines

New York Yankees +1.5 | O/U 9.5 (FanDuel)

Final Score

New York Yankees 2, Los Angeles Dodgers 18 — Los Angeles Dodgers win — Model pick was incorrect

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.