Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets

May 30, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans New York Mets

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned New York Mets (18 edges vs 3 for Colorado Rockies).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans New York Mets

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the New York Mets.

New York Mets 0.550 vs Colorado Rockies 0.150 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0 vs Colorado Rockies -3.80 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 3.50 vs Colorado Rockies 3.15 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 3.50 vs Colorado Rockies 6.95 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.667 vs Colorado Rockies 0 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 1.143 vs Colorado Rockies 0.529 — leans New York Mets

Season to date — leans New York Mets

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the New York Mets.

New York Mets 4.26 vs Colorado Rockies 3 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 3.26 vs Colorado Rockies 5.97 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.667 vs Colorado Rockies 0.111 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 101.0 vs Colorado Rockies 86.8 — leans New York Mets

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans New York Mets

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the New York Mets.

New York Mets 2.35 vs Colorado Rockies 5.76 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 1.14 vs Colorado Rockies 1.96 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 7.63 vs Colorado Rockies 7.56 — roughly even
New York Mets 0.47 vs Colorado Rockies 4.95 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 2.89 vs Colorado Rockies 2.78 — roughly even
New York Mets 1.14 vs Colorado Rockies 1.46 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 2.85 vs Colorado Rockies 3.10 — roughly even
New York Mets 17.7 vs Colorado Rockies 22.7 — leans New York Mets

Offense & matchup — Mixed

The offensive matchup is closely contested between Colorado Rockies and New York Mets.

New York Mets 0.379 vs Colorado Rockies 0.338 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.433 vs Colorado Rockies 0.416 — roughly even
New York Mets 0.343 vs Colorado Rockies 0.292 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.312 vs Colorado Rockies 0.359 — leans Colorado Rockies
New York Mets 0.395 vs Colorado Rockies 0.360 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.494 vs Colorado Rockies 0.506 — roughly even
New York Mets 0.771 vs Colorado Rockies 0.841 — leans Colorado Rockies
New York Mets 0.016 vs Colorado Rockies 0.022 — leans Colorado Rockies

Series & head-to-head — Mixed

Head-to-head history between Colorado Rockies and New York Mets does not clearly favor either side.

New York Mets 0.500 vs Colorado Rockies 0.500 — roughly even
New York Mets 0 vs Colorado Rockies 0 — roughly even

Betting Lines

New York Mets -1.5 | O/U 7.5 (FanDuel)

Final Score

Colorado Rockies 2, New York Mets 4 — New York Mets win — Model pick was correct

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.