← All picks for May 28, 2025
Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 28, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Milwaukee Brewers
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Milwaukee Brewers (15 edges vs 10 for Boston Red Sox).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.500 vs Boston Red Sox 0.350 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers -0.50 vs Boston Red Sox -0.30 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 3.50 vs Boston Red Sox 3.95 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 4 vs Boston Red Sox 4.25 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers 1 vs Boston Red Sox 0 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers 1.333 vs Boston Red Sox 0.338 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Season to date — Mixed
Season-to-date metrics are closely matched between Boston Red Sox and Milwaukee Brewers.
- Milwaukee Brewers 4.29 vs Boston Red Sox 4.43 — roughly even
- Milwaukee Brewers 4.29 vs Boston Red Sox 4.21 — roughly even
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.600 vs Boston Red Sox 0.250 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers 92.1 vs Boston Red Sox 102.2 — leans Boston Red Sox
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.
- Milwaukee Brewers 2.70 vs Boston Red Sox 4.44 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers 1.16 vs Boston Red Sox 1.81 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers 8.10 vs Boston Red Sox 7.40 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers -1.03 vs Boston Red Sox -5.54 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 4.56 vs Boston Red Sox 3.86 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 1.75 vs Boston Red Sox 1.32 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 3.57 vs Boston Red Sox 4.66 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers 25.7 vs Boston Red Sox 35.7 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Offense & matchup — leans Boston Red Sox
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Boston Red Sox.
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.353 vs Boston Red Sox 0.372 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.406 vs Boston Red Sox 0.500 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.392 vs Boston Red Sox 0.339 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.460 vs Boston Red Sox 0.378 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.360 vs Boston Red Sox 0.381 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.393 vs Boston Red Sox 0.497 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.678 vs Boston Red Sox 0.563 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.007 vs Boston Red Sox 0.009 — roughly even
Series & head-to-head — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers.
- Milwaukee Brewers 1 vs Boston Red Sox 0 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers 2.50 vs Boston Red Sox -2.50 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Betting Lines
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | O/U 7.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
Boston Red Sox 5, Milwaukee Brewers 6 — Milwaukee Brewers win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
Please gamble responsibly.