Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets

May 26, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans New York Mets

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned New York Mets (19 edges vs 4 for Chicago White Sox).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans New York Mets

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the New York Mets.

New York Mets 0.500 vs Chicago White Sox 0.400 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.05 vs Chicago White Sox -1.25 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 3.60 vs Chicago White Sox 3.15 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 3.55 vs Chicago White Sox 4.40 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.667 vs Chicago White Sox 0.667 — roughly even
New York Mets 1.204 vs Chicago White Sox 1.905 — leans Chicago White Sox

Season to date — leans New York Mets

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the New York Mets.

New York Mets 4.28 vs Chicago White Sox 3.43 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 3.19 vs Chicago White Sox 4.38 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.667 vs Chicago White Sox 0.200 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 100.8 vs Chicago White Sox 87.8 — leans New York Mets

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans New York Mets

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the New York Mets.

New York Mets 3.10 vs Chicago White Sox 5.14 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 1.14 vs Chicago White Sox 1.36 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 5.90 vs Chicago White Sox 5.79 — roughly even
New York Mets -1.38 vs Chicago White Sox 9.95 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 1.14 vs Chicago White Sox 4.58 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.89 vs Chicago White Sox 1.27 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 1.79 vs Chicago White Sox 5.29 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 21.7 vs Chicago White Sox 18 — leans Chicago White Sox

Offense & matchup — leans New York Mets

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the New York Mets.

New York Mets 0.388 vs Chicago White Sox 0.336 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.437 vs Chicago White Sox 0.426 — roughly even
New York Mets 0.389 vs Chicago White Sox 0.359 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.354 vs Chicago White Sox 0.449 — leans Chicago White Sox
New York Mets 0.396 vs Chicago White Sox 0.386 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.524 vs Chicago White Sox 0.411 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.696 vs Chicago White Sox 0.522 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.008 vs Chicago White Sox 0.050 — leans Chicago White Sox

Series & head-to-head — Mixed

Head-to-head history between Chicago White Sox and New York Mets does not clearly favor either side.

New York Mets 0.500 vs Chicago White Sox 0.500 — roughly even
New York Mets 0 vs Chicago White Sox 0 — roughly even

Betting Lines

New York Mets -1.5 | O/U 8.5 (FanDuel)

Final Score

Chicago White Sox 1, New York Mets 2 — New York Mets win — Model pick was correct

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.