← All picks for May 26, 2025
Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 26, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Boston Red Sox
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Boston Red Sox (14 edges vs 8 for Milwaukee Brewers).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Boston Red Sox
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Boston Red Sox.
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.500 vs Boston Red Sox 0.450 — roughly even
- Milwaukee Brewers -0.35 vs Boston Red Sox 0.30 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 3.55 vs Boston Red Sox 4.35 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 3.90 vs Boston Red Sox 4.05 — roughly even
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.333 vs Boston Red Sox 0.333 — roughly even
- Milwaukee Brewers 1.127 vs Boston Red Sox 0.613 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Season to date — leans Boston Red Sox
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Boston Red Sox.
- Milwaukee Brewers 4.30 vs Boston Red Sox 4.53 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 4.39 vs Boston Red Sox 4.22 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.600 vs Boston Red Sox 0.333 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers 91.9 vs Boston Red Sox 103.1 — leans Boston Red Sox
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Boston Red Sox
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Boston Red Sox.
- Milwaukee Brewers 3.95 vs Boston Red Sox 2.01 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 1.21 vs Boston Red Sox 1.09 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 7.57 vs Boston Red Sox 9.77 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.72 vs Boston Red Sox 1.84 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers 6.07 vs Boston Red Sox 3.86 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 1.80 vs Boston Red Sox 1.50 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 3.33 vs Boston Red Sox 3.89 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers 26.7 vs Boston Red Sox 38.3 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Offense & matchup — leans Boston Red Sox
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Boston Red Sox.
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.353 vs Boston Red Sox 0.365 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.404 vs Boston Red Sox 0.505 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.319 vs Boston Red Sox 0.346 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.363 vs Boston Red Sox 0.460 — leans Boston Red Sox
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.385 vs Boston Red Sox 0.364 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.446 vs Boston Red Sox 0.457 — roughly even
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.957 vs Boston Red Sox 0.684 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.032 vs Boston Red Sox -0.002 — leans Milwaukee Brewers
Series & head-to-head — Mixed
Head-to-head history between Boston Red Sox and Milwaukee Brewers does not clearly favor either side.
- Milwaukee Brewers 0.500 vs Boston Red Sox 0.500 — roughly even
- Milwaukee Brewers 0 vs Boston Red Sox 0 — roughly even
Betting Lines
Boston Red Sox +1.5 | O/U 7.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
Boston Red Sox 2, Milwaukee Brewers 3 — Milwaukee Brewers win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
Please gamble responsibly.