Philadelphia Phillies vs Athletics

May 25, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans Philadelphia Phillies

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Philadelphia Phillies (21 edges vs 5 for Athletics).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Philadelphia Phillies

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.

Athletics 0.200 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.750 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics -2.90 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1.65 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 4.25 vs Philadelphia Phillies 5.30 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 7.15 vs Philadelphia Phillies 3.65 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 0 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 1.098 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.943 — leans Athletics

Season to date — leans Philadelphia Phillies

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.

Athletics 4.26 vs Philadelphia Phillies 4.83 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 5.74 vs Philadelphia Phillies 4.02 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 0.167 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.917 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 101.2 vs Philadelphia Phillies 103.3 — roughly even

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Philadelphia Phillies

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.

Athletics 5.06 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1.82 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 1.41 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1.21 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 8.44 vs Philadelphia Phillies 9.40 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 0 vs Philadelphia Phillies -0.49 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 8.69 vs Philadelphia Phillies 4.08 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 1.88 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1.19 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 3.81 vs Philadelphia Phillies 2.08 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 18.3 vs Philadelphia Phillies 14.7 — leans Philadelphia Phillies

Offense & matchup — leans Athletics

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Athletics.

Athletics 0.389 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.403 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 0.487 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.523 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 0.462 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.351 — leans Athletics
Athletics 0.536 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.473 — leans Athletics
Athletics 0.393 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.405 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics 0.521 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.493 — leans Athletics
Athletics 0.933 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.678 — leans Athletics
Athletics 0.004 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.002 — roughly even

Series & head-to-head — leans Philadelphia Phillies

Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.

Athletics 0 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics -2 vs Philadelphia Phillies 2 — leans Philadelphia Phillies

Final Score

Philadelphia Phillies 4, Athletics 5 — Athletics win — Model pick was incorrect

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.