Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets

May 25, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans New York Mets

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned New York Mets (12 edges vs 10 for Los Angeles Dodgers).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — Mixed

Recent form factors are roughly even between Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets, with neither team showing a clear edge in their last ten games.

New York Mets 0.450 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.500 — roughly even
New York Mets -0.05 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.25 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 3.45 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 6.20 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 3.50 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.95 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.667 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.667 — roughly even
New York Mets 1.449 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.645 — leans New York Mets

Season to date — Mixed

Season-to-date metrics are closely matched between Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets.

New York Mets 4.30 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.63 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 3.23 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.46 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.625 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.545 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 101.2 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 109.6 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans New York Mets

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the New York Mets.

New York Mets 1.95 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 6.75 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 1.37 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.64 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 8.78 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 8.44 — roughly even
New York Mets 0.20 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.75 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 2.45 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.22 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 1.27 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.34 — roughly even
New York Mets 2.74 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.38 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 20 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 27 — leans New York Mets

Offense & matchup — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

New York Mets 0.403 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.410 — roughly even
New York Mets 0.456 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.545 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.389 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.353 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.349 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.418 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.404 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.431 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.515 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.601 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.545 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.655 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.000 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.021 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Series & head-to-head — leans New York Mets

Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the New York Mets.

New York Mets 0.500 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.500 — roughly even
New York Mets 0.50 vs Los Angeles Dodgers -0.50 — leans New York Mets

Betting Lines

Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 | O/U 8.5 (FanDuel)

Final Score

Los Angeles Dodgers 1, New York Mets 3 — New York Mets win — Model pick was correct

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.