Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets

May 23, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans Los Angeles Dodgers

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Los Angeles Dodgers (14 edges vs 10 for New York Mets).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

New York Mets 0.450 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.550 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.10 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.60 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 3.50 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 6.45 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 3.40 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.85 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.333 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.667 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.571 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.620 — roughly even

Season to date — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

New York Mets 4.27 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.68 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 3.18 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.44 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 0.571 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.600 — roughly even
New York Mets 101.1 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 110.9 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans New York Mets

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the New York Mets.

New York Mets 1.71 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.82 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 1.25 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.52 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 8.54 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 6.23 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets -1.08 vs Los Angeles Dodgers -10.60 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 2.33 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 6 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 1.34 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.44 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 3.82 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.73 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets 14 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 27 — leans New York Mets

Offense & matchup — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.

New York Mets 0.397 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.417 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.463 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.579 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.368 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.394 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.417 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.568 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.392 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.435 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.494 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.637 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets 0.806 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.539 — leans New York Mets
New York Mets -0.005 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.019 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers

Series & head-to-head — Mixed

Head-to-head history between Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets does not clearly favor either side.

New York Mets 0.500 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.500 — roughly even
New York Mets 0 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0 — roughly even

Betting Lines

Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 | O/U 8.5 (FanDuel)

Final Score

Los Angeles Dodgers 7, New York Mets 5 — Los Angeles Dodgers win — Model pick was correct

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.