← All picks for May 22, 2025
Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies
May 22, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Philadelphia Phillies
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Philadelphia Phillies (25 edges vs 2 for Colorado Rockies).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Colorado Rockies 0.150 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.700 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies -4 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1.55 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 3.40 vs Philadelphia Phillies 5.15 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 7.40 vs Philadelphia Phillies 3.60 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 0 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 1.176 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1.618 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Season to date — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Colorado Rockies 3.15 vs Philadelphia Phillies 4.82 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 6.17 vs Philadelphia Phillies 4.08 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 0.100 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.889 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 87.8 vs Philadelphia Phillies 104.1 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Colorado Rockies 9.13 vs Philadelphia Phillies 6.57 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 1.82 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1.50 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 3.80 vs Philadelphia Phillies 8.39 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 11.09 vs Philadelphia Phillies 3.16 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 7.71 vs Philadelphia Phillies 4.66 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 1.89 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1.29 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 6.96 vs Philadelphia Phillies 3.05 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 20 vs Philadelphia Phillies 14 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Offense & matchup — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Colorado Rockies 0.332 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.406 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 0.426 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.542 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 0.265 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.380 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 0.364 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.483 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 0.371 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.403 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies 0.445 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.432 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 0.835 vs Philadelphia Phillies 0.655 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 0.040 vs Philadelphia Phillies -0.003 — leans Colorado Rockies
Series & head-to-head — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Colorado Rockies 0 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Colorado Rockies -4 vs Philadelphia Phillies 4 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Betting Lines
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 | O/U 11.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
Philadelphia Phillies 2, Colorado Rockies 0 — Philadelphia Phillies win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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