New York Yankees vs Athletics

May 11, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans New York Yankees

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned New York Yankees (15 edges vs 7 for Athletics).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans New York Yankees

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the New York Yankees.

Athletics 0.600 vs New York Yankees 0.450 — leans Athletics
Athletics -1.05 vs New York Yankees 1.85 — leans New York Yankees
Athletics 4.35 vs New York Yankees 5.45 — leans New York Yankees
Athletics 5.40 vs New York Yankees 3.60 — leans New York Yankees
Athletics 0.333 vs New York Yankees 0.667 — leans New York Yankees
Athletics 1.379 vs New York Yankees 1.284 — roughly even

Season to date — leans New York Yankees

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the New York Yankees.

Athletics 4.45 vs New York Yankees 5.58 — leans New York Yankees
Athletics 5.15 vs New York Yankees 3.95 — leans New York Yankees
Athletics 0.545 vs New York Yankees 0.400 — leans Athletics
Athletics 102.2 vs New York Yankees 111.9 — leans New York Yankees

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Athletics

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Athletics.

Athletics 2.93 vs New York Yankees 1.93 — leans New York Yankees
Athletics 1.17 vs New York Yankees 1.14 — roughly even
Athletics 6.75 vs New York Yankees 5.79 — leans Athletics
Athletics -1.19 vs New York Yankees 2.82 — leans Athletics
Athletics 7.83 vs New York Yankees 9.37 — leans Athletics
Athletics 1.74 vs New York Yankees 2.20 — leans Athletics
Athletics 5.49 vs New York Yankees 3.96 — leans New York Yankees
Athletics 20.3 vs New York Yankees 12 — leans New York Yankees

Offense & matchup — leans New York Yankees

Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the New York Yankees.

Athletics 0.381 vs New York Yankees 0.401 — leans New York Yankees
Athletics 0.496 vs New York Yankees 0.553 — leans New York Yankees
Athletics 0.383 vs New York Yankees 0.401 — leans New York Yankees
Athletics 0.522 vs New York Yankees 0.562 — leans New York Yankees
Athletics 0.371 vs New York Yankees 0.374 — roughly even
Athletics 0.486 vs New York Yankees 0.475 — roughly even
Athletics 0.939 vs New York Yankees 0.910 — roughly even
Athletics -0.011 vs New York Yankees -0.027 — leans Athletics

Series & head-to-head — leans New York Yankees

Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the New York Yankees.

Athletics 0.500 vs New York Yankees 0.500 — roughly even
Athletics -2 vs New York Yankees 2 — leans New York Yankees

Final Score

New York Yankees 12, Athletics 2 — New York Yankees win — Model pick was correct

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.