← All picks for May 9, 2025
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies
May 9, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans San Diego Padres
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned San Diego Padres (20 edges vs 3 for Colorado Rockies).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans San Diego Padres
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the San Diego Padres.
- Colorado Rockies 0.150 vs San Diego Padres 0.500 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies -2.85 vs San Diego Padres -0.05 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 2.60 vs San Diego Padres 3.50 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 5.45 vs San Diego Padres 3.55 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 0 vs San Diego Padres 0.333 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 1.154 vs San Diego Padres 0.952 — leans Colorado Rockies
Season to date — leans San Diego Padres
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the San Diego Padres.
- Colorado Rockies 2.88 vs San Diego Padres 3.97 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 5.60 vs San Diego Padres 3.17 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 0.167 vs San Diego Padres 0.500 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 86.3 vs San Diego Padres 101.8 — leans San Diego Padres
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans San Diego Padres
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the San Diego Padres.
- Colorado Rockies 6.12 vs San Diego Padres 5.16 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 1.80 vs San Diego Padres 1.85 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 4.68 vs San Diego Padres 4.76 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 0.61 vs San Diego Padres 2.55 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 5.84 vs San Diego Padres 5.82 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 1.54 vs San Diego Padres 1.25 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 3.79 vs San Diego Padres 4.58 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 22 vs San Diego Padres 12.7 — leans San Diego Padres
Offense & matchup — leans San Diego Padres
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the San Diego Padres.
- Colorado Rockies 0.319 vs San Diego Padres 0.375 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 0.403 vs San Diego Padres 0.444 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 0.351 vs San Diego Padres 0.501 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 0.451 vs San Diego Padres 0.670 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 0.347 vs San Diego Padres 0.406 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 0.462 vs San Diego Padres 0.482 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 0.516 vs San Diego Padres 0.812 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 0.028 vs San Diego Padres 0.031 — roughly even
Series & head-to-head — leans San Diego Padres
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the San Diego Padres.
- Colorado Rockies 0 vs San Diego Padres 1 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies -5.33 vs San Diego Padres 5.33 — leans San Diego Padres
Betting Lines
San Diego Padres +1.5 | O/U 11.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
San Diego Padres 13, Colorado Rockies 9 — San Diego Padres win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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