← All picks for May 7, 2025
New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks
May 7, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans New York Mets
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans New York Mets
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the New York Mets.
- Arizona Diamondbacks 0.500 vs New York Mets 0.600 — leans New York Mets
- Arizona Diamondbacks -0.05 vs New York Mets 1.65 — leans New York Mets
- Arizona Diamondbacks 5.15 vs New York Mets 5.10 — roughly even
- Arizona Diamondbacks 5.20 vs New York Mets 3.45 — leans New York Mets
- Arizona Diamondbacks 0.667 vs New York Mets 0.333 — leans Arizona Diamondbacks
- Arizona Diamondbacks 1.294 vs New York Mets 0.654 — leans Arizona Diamondbacks
Season to date — Mixed
Season-to-date metrics are closely matched between New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Arizona Diamondbacks 5.14 vs New York Mets 4.58 — leans Arizona Diamondbacks
- Arizona Diamondbacks 4.89 vs New York Mets 3.18 — leans New York Mets
- Arizona Diamondbacks 0.375 vs New York Mets 0.400 — roughly even
- Arizona Diamondbacks 105.6 vs New York Mets 102.6 — roughly even
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans New York Mets
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the New York Mets.
- Arizona Diamondbacks 2.20 vs New York Mets 0.98 — leans New York Mets
- Arizona Diamondbacks 0.73 vs New York Mets 1.23 — leans Arizona Diamondbacks
- Arizona Diamondbacks 7.53 vs New York Mets 7.48 — roughly even
- Arizona Diamondbacks 4.73 vs New York Mets -0.66 — leans New York Mets
- Arizona Diamondbacks 4.98 vs New York Mets 3.22 — leans New York Mets
- Arizona Diamondbacks 1.52 vs New York Mets 1.25 — leans New York Mets
- Arizona Diamondbacks 7.07 vs New York Mets 3.55 — leans New York Mets
- Arizona Diamondbacks 18.7 vs New York Mets 22.3 — leans Arizona Diamondbacks
Offense & matchup — leans Arizona Diamondbacks
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Arizona Diamondbacks 0.380 vs New York Mets 0.422 — leans New York Mets
- Arizona Diamondbacks 0.508 vs New York Mets 0.530 — leans New York Mets
- Arizona Diamondbacks 0.375 vs New York Mets 0.462 — leans New York Mets
- Arizona Diamondbacks 0.518 vs New York Mets 0.491 — leans Arizona Diamondbacks
- Arizona Diamondbacks 0.427 vs New York Mets 0.389 — leans Arizona Diamondbacks
- Arizona Diamondbacks 0.559 vs New York Mets 0.496 — leans Arizona Diamondbacks
- Arizona Diamondbacks 0.824 vs New York Mets 0.575 — leans Arizona Diamondbacks
- Arizona Diamondbacks 0.047 vs New York Mets -0.033 — leans Arizona Diamondbacks
Series & head-to-head — leans Arizona Diamondbacks
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Arizona Diamondbacks 0.600 vs New York Mets 0.400 — leans Arizona Diamondbacks
- Arizona Diamondbacks 0.20 vs New York Mets -0.20 — leans Arizona Diamondbacks
Betting Lines
New York Mets +1.5 | O/U 9.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
New York Mets 7, Arizona Diamondbacks 1 — New York Mets win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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