New York Mets vs Athletics

April 11, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick

Our model leans New York Mets

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned New York Mets (14 edges vs 9 for Athletics).

The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.

Matchup Breakdown

Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans New York Mets

Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the New York Mets.

Athletics 0.385 vs New York Mets 0.667 — leans New York Mets
Athletics -1.31 vs New York Mets 1.08 — leans New York Mets
Athletics 4.31 vs New York Mets 3.75 — leans Athletics
Athletics 5.62 vs New York Mets 2.67 — leans New York Mets
Athletics 0.333 vs New York Mets 0.667 — leans New York Mets
Athletics 1.161 vs New York Mets 1.067 — roughly even

Season to date — leans New York Mets

Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the New York Mets.

Athletics 4.31 vs New York Mets 3.75 — leans Athletics
Athletics 5.62 vs New York Mets 2.67 — leans New York Mets
Athletics 0.167 vs New York Mets 0.500 — leans New York Mets
Athletics 98.2 vs New York Mets 98.6 — roughly even

Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans New York Mets

Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the New York Mets.

Athletics 5.14 vs New York Mets 4.81 — leans New York Mets
Athletics 1.36 vs New York Mets 1.56 — leans Athletics
Athletics 8.36 vs New York Mets 7.40 — leans Athletics
Athletics 2.12 vs New York Mets -0.68 — leans New York Mets
Athletics 3.10 vs New York Mets 2.25 — leans New York Mets
Athletics 1.28 vs New York Mets 0.88 — leans New York Mets
Athletics 2.07 vs New York Mets 2.60 — leans Athletics
Athletics 16.7 vs New York Mets 17 — roughly even

Offense & matchup — Mixed

The offensive matchup is closely contested between New York Mets and Athletics.

Athletics 0.362 vs New York Mets 0.327 — leans Athletics
Athletics 0.459 vs New York Mets 0.390 — leans Athletics
Athletics 0.394 vs New York Mets 0.354 — leans Athletics
Athletics 0.488 vs New York Mets 0.398 — leans Athletics
Athletics 0.338 vs New York Mets 0.377 — leans New York Mets
Athletics 0.451 vs New York Mets 0.474 — leans New York Mets
Athletics 0.435 vs New York Mets 0.916 — leans New York Mets
Athletics -0.024 vs New York Mets 0.050 — leans New York Mets

Series & head-to-head — Mixed

Head-to-head history between New York Mets and Athletics does not clearly favor either side.

Athletics 0.500 vs New York Mets 0.500 — roughly even
Athletics 0 vs New York Mets 0 — roughly even

Final Score

New York Mets 7, Athletics 6 — New York Mets win — Model pick was correct

This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.