← All picks for April 5, 2025
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies
April 5, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Philadelphia Phillies
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Philadelphia Phillies (14 edges vs 7 for Los Angeles Dodgers).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.857 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.889 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 2.43 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 2.33 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 5.14 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.22 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 2.71 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 2.89 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 1 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.667 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.713 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.702 — roughly even
Season to date — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 5.14 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.22 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 2.71 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 2.89 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 1 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.667 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 137.5 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 109.9 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Starting pitching (recent starts) — Mixed
The starting pitching matchup between Los Angeles Dodgers and Philadelphia Phillies grades out as a toss-up based on recent outings.
- Philadelphia Phillies 5.53 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.79 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 1.30 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 2.79 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 12.36 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 9.64 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.68 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 3.63 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.98 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 1.73 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.91 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 3.91 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1.89 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 13.3 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 22.3 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Offense & matchup — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.390 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.425 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.515 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.599 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.451 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.376 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.570 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.599 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.428 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.389 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.585 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.551 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.551 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0.557 — roughly even
- Philadelphia Phillies 0.038 vs Los Angeles Dodgers -0.036 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Series & head-to-head — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Philadelphia Phillies 1 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 0 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies 1 vs Los Angeles Dodgers -1 — leans Philadelphia Phillies
Betting Lines
Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 | O/U 8.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
Los Angeles Dodgers 3, Philadelphia Phillies 1 — Los Angeles Dodgers win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
Please gamble responsibly.