← All picks for March 31, 2025
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Tampa Bay Rays
March 31, 2025 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Tampa Bay Rays
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Tampa Bay Rays (14 edges vs 7 for Pittsburgh Pirates).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Tampa Bay Rays
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.667 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.250 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.67 vs Pittsburgh Pirates -0.50 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 3.33 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 3.50 — roughly even
- Tampa Bay Rays 2.67 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 4 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.667 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.333 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 1 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.952 — roughly even
Season to date — Mixed
Season-to-date metrics are closely matched between Pittsburgh Pirates and Tampa Bay Rays.
- Tampa Bay Rays 3.33 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 3.50 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Tampa Bay Rays 2.67 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 4 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.667 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.250 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays -43.2 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 106.0 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans Tampa Bay Rays
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Tampa Bay Rays 2.89 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 2.08 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Tampa Bay Rays 1.07 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 1.62 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 12.54 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 12.46 — roughly even
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.60 vs Pittsburgh Pirates -3.86 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Tampa Bay Rays 2.37 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 4.15 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.95 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 1.69 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 2.36 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 4.64 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 9 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 14 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
Offense & matchup — Mixed
The offensive matchup is closely contested between Pittsburgh Pirates and Tampa Bay Rays.
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.334 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.352 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.421 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.408 — roughly even
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.407 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.382 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.386 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.335 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.359 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.394 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.478 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.416 — leans Tampa Bay Rays
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.678 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.667 — roughly even
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.024 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.042 — leans Pittsburgh Pirates
Series & head-to-head — Mixed
Head-to-head history between Pittsburgh Pirates and Tampa Bay Rays does not clearly favor either side.
- Tampa Bay Rays 0.500 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0.500 — roughly even
- Tampa Bay Rays 0 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 0 — roughly even
Betting Lines
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 | O/U 8.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
Pittsburgh Pirates 1, Tampa Bay Rays 6 — Tampa Bay Rays win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
Please gamble responsibly.