Feeling ClutchOsasuna vs Deportivo La Coruna
Monday, November 2, 2026 — La Liga Prediction & Pick
Deportivo La Coruna 51% to win
Home win 51%, draw 25%, away win 24%. That lean is driven mainly by form and elo.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Deportivo La Coruna (12 edges vs 2 edges for Osasuna).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this match.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last 10 games) — leans Deportivo La Coruna
Evaluating win rate, points, and goals over the last ten games, the matchup favors Deportivo La Coruna.
- Win rate: Deportivo La Coruna 0.20 vs Osasuna 0.25 — roughly even
- Points per game: Deportivo La Coruna 1.10 vs Osasuna 0.92 — leans Deportivo La Coruna
- Goals scored per game: Deportivo La Coruna 1.30 vs Osasuna 0.92 — leans Deportivo La Coruna
- Goals allowed per game: Deportivo La Coruna 1.30 vs Osasuna 1.92 — leans Deportivo La Coruna
- Goal difference per game: Deportivo La Coruna 0.00 vs Osasuna -1.00 — leans Deportivo La Coruna
Short-term form (last 5 games) — roughly even
Short-term form is roughly even between Osasuna and Deportivo La Coruna.
- Win rate: Deportivo La Coruna 0.00 vs Osasuna 0.17 — leans Osasuna
- Points per game: Deportivo La Coruna 0.50 vs Osasuna 0.67 — roughly even
- Goals scored per game: Deportivo La Coruna 0.83 vs Osasuna 0.83 — roughly even
- Goals allowed per game: Deportivo La Coruna 1.33 vs Osasuna 2.33 — leans Deportivo La Coruna
Table and competition — leans Deportivo La Coruna
Factoring in table position, points, goal difference, and results in this competition, the matchup favors Deportivo La Coruna.
- Table rank: Deportivo La Coruna 11 vs Osasuna 12 — roughly even
- Points: Deportivo La Coruna 11 vs Osasuna 11 — roughly even
- Goal difference: Deportivo La Coruna 0 vs Osasuna -10 — leans Deportivo La Coruna
- Points per game in this competition: Deportivo La Coruna 0.50 vs Osasuna 0.67 — leans Osasuna
- Goals scored per game in this competition: Deportivo La Coruna 0.83 vs Osasuna 0.83 — roughly even
- Goals allowed per game in this competition: Deportivo La Coruna 1.33 vs Osasuna 2.33 — leans Deportivo La Coruna
Shots and expected goals — leans Deportivo La Coruna
Comparing shot volume and expected-goals profiles, the matchup favors Deportivo La Coruna.
- Expected goals for: Deportivo La Coruna 1.20 vs Osasuna 1.20 — roughly even
- Expected goals against: Deportivo La Coruna 1.20 vs Osasuna 1.20 — roughly even
- Shots for: Deportivo La Coruna 7.7 vs Osasuna 4.5 — leans Deportivo La Coruna
- Shots on target for: Deportivo La Coruna 2.7 vs Osasuna 1.5 — leans Deportivo La Coruna
Rest and availability — leans Deportivo La Coruna
Factoring in days of rest and listed injuries, the matchup favors Deportivo La Coruna.
- Days of rest: Deportivo La Coruna 9 vs Osasuna 7 — leans Deportivo La Coruna
- Listed injuries: Deportivo La Coruna 0 vs Osasuna 0 — roughly even
Elo and streaks — leans Deportivo La Coruna
Weighing Elo ratings, current streaks, and home/away splits, the matchup favors Deportivo La Coruna.
- Elo: Deportivo La Coruna 1496 vs Osasuna 1466 — leans Deportivo La Coruna
- Win streak: Deportivo La Coruna 0 vs Osasuna 0 — roughly even
- Unbeaten streak: Deportivo La Coruna 0 vs Osasuna 0 — roughly even
- Home/away split win rate: Deportivo La Coruna 0.20 vs Osasuna 0.08 — leans Deportivo La Coruna
Win chance comes from the scoreline distribution of the predicted goals.
Betting Lines
Osasuna +265 | Draw +230 | Deportivo La Coruna +128 | O/U 2.5 (Betfair)
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.