Feeling ClutchMinnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC
Sunday, November 1, 2026 — MLS Prediction & Pick
Los Angeles FC 51% to win
Home win 51%, draw 22%, away win 28%. That lean is driven mainly by elo. Form pulls the other way.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Los Angeles FC (13 edges vs 5 edges for Minnesota United FC).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this match.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last 10 games) — leans Los Angeles FC
Evaluating win rate, points, and goals over the last ten games, the matchup favors Los Angeles FC.
- Win rate: Los Angeles FC 0.17 vs Minnesota United FC 0.17 — roughly even
- Points per game: Los Angeles FC 1.08 vs Minnesota United FC 0.83 — leans Los Angeles FC
- Goals scored per game: Los Angeles FC 1.25 vs Minnesota United FC 2.17 — leans Minnesota United FC
- Goals allowed per game: Los Angeles FC 1.25 vs Minnesota United FC 2.42 — leans Los Angeles FC
- Goal difference per game: Los Angeles FC 0.00 vs Minnesota United FC -0.25 — leans Los Angeles FC
Short-term form (last 5 games) — leans Los Angeles FC
Looking at the last five matches — results and goals — the matchup favors Los Angeles FC.
- Win rate: Los Angeles FC 0.17 vs Minnesota United FC 0.17 — roughly even
- Points per game: Los Angeles FC 1.17 vs Minnesota United FC 1.00 — roughly even
- Goals scored per game: Los Angeles FC 1.50 vs Minnesota United FC 1.67 — roughly even
- Goals allowed per game: Los Angeles FC 1.33 vs Minnesota United FC 2.00 — leans Los Angeles FC
Table and competition — leans Los Angeles FC
Factoring in table position, points, goal difference, and results in this competition, the matchup favors Los Angeles FC.
- Table rank: Los Angeles FC 10 vs Minnesota United FC 25 — leans Los Angeles FC
- Points: Los Angeles FC 47 vs Minnesota United FC 35 — leans Los Angeles FC
- Goal difference: Los Angeles FC 15 vs Minnesota United FC -8 — leans Los Angeles FC
- Points per game in this competition: Los Angeles FC 1.17 vs Minnesota United FC 1.00 — leans Los Angeles FC
- Goals scored per game in this competition: Los Angeles FC 1.50 vs Minnesota United FC 1.67 — leans Minnesota United FC
- Goals allowed per game in this competition: Los Angeles FC 1.33 vs Minnesota United FC 2.00 — leans Los Angeles FC
Shots and expected goals — leans Minnesota United FC
Comparing shot volume and expected-goals profiles, the matchup favors Minnesota United FC.
- Expected goals for: Los Angeles FC 1.20 vs Minnesota United FC 1.20 — roughly even
- Expected goals against: Los Angeles FC 1.20 vs Minnesota United FC 1.20 — roughly even
- Shots for: Los Angeles FC 0.8 vs Minnesota United FC 2.2 — roughly even
- Shots on target for: Los Angeles FC 0.2 vs Minnesota United FC 0.9 — leans Minnesota United FC
Rest and availability — leans Minnesota United FC
Factoring in days of rest and listed injuries, the matchup favors Minnesota United FC.
- Days of rest: Los Angeles FC 7 vs Minnesota United FC 8 — leans Minnesota United FC
- Listed injuries: Los Angeles FC 107 vs Minnesota United FC 90 — leans Minnesota United FC
Elo and streaks — leans Los Angeles FC
Weighing Elo ratings, current streaks, and home/away splits, the matchup favors Los Angeles FC.
- Elo: Los Angeles FC 1559 vs Minnesota United FC 1483 — leans Los Angeles FC
- Win streak: Los Angeles FC 0 vs Minnesota United FC 0 — roughly even
- Unbeaten streak: Los Angeles FC 1 vs Minnesota United FC 1 — roughly even
- Home/away split win rate: Los Angeles FC 0.42 vs Minnesota United FC 0.25 — leans Los Angeles FC
Head-to-head — leans Los Angeles FC
Looking at recent meetings between these sides, the matchup favors Los Angeles FC.
- Win rate in prior meetings: Los Angeles FC 0.83 vs Minnesota United FC 0.17 — leans Los Angeles FC
- Goals per meeting: Los Angeles FC 1.67 vs Minnesota United FC 0.50 — leans Los Angeles FC
Win chance comes from the scoreline distribution of the predicted goals.
Betting Lines
Minnesota United FC +350 | Draw +325 | Los Angeles FC -136 | O/U 3.5 (LeoVegas (SE))
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.