Feeling ClutchInter Miami vs New England Revolution
Sunday, November 1, 2026 — MLS Prediction & Pick
Inter Miami 41% to win
Home win 35%, draw 24%, away win 41%. That lean is driven mainly by elo and form.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Inter Miami (11 edges vs 7 edges for New England Revolution).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this match.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last 10 games) — roughly even
Recent form over the last ten games looks similar for Inter Miami and New England Revolution.
- Win rate: New England Revolution 0.67 vs Inter Miami 0.33 — leans New England Revolution
- Points per game: New England Revolution 2.08 vs Inter Miami 1.42 — leans New England Revolution
- Goals scored per game: New England Revolution 1.83 vs Inter Miami 2.25 — leans Inter Miami
- Goals allowed per game: New England Revolution 1.42 vs Inter Miami 1.42 — roughly even
- Goal difference per game: New England Revolution 0.42 vs Inter Miami 0.83 — leans Inter Miami
Short-term form (last 5 games) — roughly even
Short-term form is roughly even between Inter Miami and New England Revolution.
- Win rate: New England Revolution 0.67 vs Inter Miami 0.50 — leans New England Revolution
- Points per game: New England Revolution 2.00 vs Inter Miami 1.67 — leans New England Revolution
- Goals scored per game: New England Revolution 1.67 vs Inter Miami 2.00 — leans Inter Miami
- Goals allowed per game: New England Revolution 1.83 vs Inter Miami 1.17 — leans Inter Miami
Table and competition — leans Inter Miami
Factoring in table position, points, goal difference, and results in this competition, the matchup favors Inter Miami.
- Table rank: New England Revolution 4 vs Inter Miami 3 — roughly even
- Points: New England Revolution 55 vs Inter Miami 55 — roughly even
- Goal difference: New England Revolution 9 vs Inter Miami 20 — leans Inter Miami
- Points per game in this competition: New England Revolution 2.00 vs Inter Miami 1.67 — leans New England Revolution
- Goals scored per game in this competition: New England Revolution 1.67 vs Inter Miami 2.00 — leans Inter Miami
- Goals allowed per game in this competition: New England Revolution 1.83 vs Inter Miami 1.17 — leans Inter Miami
Shots and expected goals — roughly even
Shot and expected-goals profiles grade out as roughly even.
- Expected goals for: New England Revolution 1.20 vs Inter Miami 1.20 — roughly even
- Expected goals against: New England Revolution 1.20 vs Inter Miami 1.20 — roughly even
- Shots for: New England Revolution 1.4 vs Inter Miami 1.6 — roughly even
- Shots on target for: New England Revolution 1.0 vs Inter Miami 0.6 — roughly even
Rest and availability — leans Inter Miami
Factoring in days of rest and listed injuries, the matchup favors Inter Miami.
- Days of rest: New England Revolution 8 vs Inter Miami 8 — roughly even
- Listed injuries: New England Revolution 83 vs Inter Miami 75 — leans Inter Miami
Elo and streaks — leans New England Revolution
Weighing Elo ratings, current streaks, and home/away splits, the matchup favors New England Revolution.
- Elo: New England Revolution 1524 vs Inter Miami 1595 — leans Inter Miami
- Win streak: New England Revolution 3 vs Inter Miami 0 — leans New England Revolution
- Unbeaten streak: New England Revolution 3 vs Inter Miami 0 — leans New England Revolution
- Home/away split win rate: New England Revolution 0.58 vs Inter Miami 0.58 — roughly even
Head-to-head — leans Inter Miami
Looking at recent meetings between these sides, the matchup favors Inter Miami.
- Win rate in prior meetings: New England Revolution 0.17 vs Inter Miami 0.67 — leans Inter Miami
- Goals per meeting: New England Revolution 1.50 vs Inter Miami 3.00 — leans Inter Miami
Win chance comes from the scoreline distribution of the predicted goals.
Betting Lines
Inter Miami +133 | Draw +310 | New England Revolution +175 | O/U 3.5 (LeoVegas (SE))
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.