Feeling ClutchHamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sunday, November 1, 2026 — Bundesliga Prediction & Pick
Eintracht Frankfurt 50% to win
Home win 50%, draw 25%, away win 25%. That lean is driven mainly by form and elo.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Hamburger SV (9 edges vs 3 edges for Eintracht Frankfurt).
Note: the model leans Eintracht Frankfurt even though the simple edge count favors Hamburger SV. This can happen because the model weighs each input differently — a single large advantage can outweigh several smaller edges on the other side. The edge count treats every metric equally, but the model does not.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last 10 games) — leans Hamburger SV
Evaluating win rate, points, and goals over the last ten games, the matchup favors Hamburger SV.
- Win rate: Eintracht Frankfurt 0.17 vs Hamburger SV 0.42 — leans Hamburger SV
- Points per game: Eintracht Frankfurt 0.83 vs Hamburger SV 1.33 — leans Hamburger SV
- Goals scored per game: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.42 vs Hamburger SV 1.17 — leans Eintracht Frankfurt
- Goals allowed per game: Eintracht Frankfurt 2.33 vs Hamburger SV 2.08 — leans Hamburger SV
- Goal difference per game: Eintracht Frankfurt -0.92 vs Hamburger SV -0.92 — roughly even
Short-term form (last 5 games) — leans Hamburger SV
Looking at the last five matches — results and goals — the matchup favors Hamburger SV.
- Win rate: Eintracht Frankfurt 0.33 vs Hamburger SV 0.50 — leans Hamburger SV
- Points per game: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.17 vs Hamburger SV 1.50 — leans Hamburger SV
- Goals scored per game: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.17 vs Hamburger SV 1.00 — roughly even
- Goals allowed per game: Eintracht Frankfurt 2.33 vs Hamburger SV 2.33 — roughly even
Table and competition — leans Hamburger SV
Factoring in table position, points, goal difference, and results in this competition, the matchup favors Hamburger SV.
- Table rank: Eintracht Frankfurt 14 vs Hamburger SV 11 — leans Hamburger SV
- Points: Eintracht Frankfurt 8 vs Hamburger SV 9 — roughly even
- Goal difference: Eintracht Frankfurt -7 vs Hamburger SV -10 — roughly even
- Points per game in this competition: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.17 vs Hamburger SV 1.50 — leans Hamburger SV
- Goals scored per game in this competition: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.17 vs Hamburger SV 1.00 — leans Eintracht Frankfurt
- Goals allowed per game in this competition: Eintracht Frankfurt 2.33 vs Hamburger SV 2.33 — roughly even
Shots and expected goals — leans Eintracht Frankfurt
Comparing shot volume and expected-goals profiles, the matchup favors Eintracht Frankfurt.
- Expected goals for: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.20 vs Hamburger SV 1.20 — roughly even
- Expected goals against: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.20 vs Hamburger SV 1.20 — roughly even
- Shots for: Eintracht Frankfurt 4.2 vs Hamburger SV 4.1 — roughly even
- Shots on target for: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.8 vs Hamburger SV 1.2 — leans Eintracht Frankfurt
Rest and availability — roughly even
Rest and availability look similar for Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt.
- Days of rest: Eintracht Frankfurt 8 vs Hamburger SV 8 — roughly even
- Listed injuries: Eintracht Frankfurt 0 vs Hamburger SV 0 — roughly even
Elo and streaks — roughly even
Elo, streaks, and venue splits do not clearly separate Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt.
- Elo: Eintracht Frankfurt 1503 vs Hamburger SV 1486 — roughly even
- Win streak: Eintracht Frankfurt 0 vs Hamburger SV 0 — roughly even
- Unbeaten streak: Eintracht Frankfurt 0 vs Hamburger SV 0 — roughly even
- Home/away split win rate: Eintracht Frankfurt 0.33 vs Hamburger SV 0.33 — roughly even
Head-to-head — leans Hamburger SV
Looking at recent meetings between these sides, the matchup favors Hamburger SV.
- Win rate in prior meetings: Eintracht Frankfurt 0.00 vs Hamburger SV 0.50 — leans Hamburger SV
- Goals per meeting: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.00 vs Hamburger SV 1.50 — leans Hamburger SV
Win chance comes from the scoreline distribution of the predicted goals.
Betting Lines
Hamburger SV +390 | Draw +350 | Eintracht Frankfurt -143 | O/U 3.5 (Matchbook)
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.