Feeling ClutchIpswich vs Hull City
Saturday, October 31, 2026 — Premier League Prediction & Pick
Hull City 49% to win
Home win 49%, draw 25%, away win 26%. That lean is driven mainly by elo. Form pulls the other way.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Hull City (9 edges vs 6 edges for Ipswich).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this match.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last 10 games) — leans Hull City
Evaluating win rate, points, and goals over the last ten games, the matchup favors Hull City.
- Win rate: Hull City 0.25 vs Ipswich 0.25 — roughly even
- Points per game: Hull City 1.25 vs Ipswich 0.92 — leans Hull City
- Goals scored per game: Hull City 1.12 vs Ipswich 1.25 — roughly even
- Goals allowed per game: Hull City 1.00 vs Ipswich 2.00 — leans Hull City
- Goal difference per game: Hull City 0.12 vs Ipswich -0.75 — leans Hull City
Short-term form (last 5 games) — leans Ipswich
Looking at the last five matches — results and goals — the matchup favors Ipswich.
- Win rate: Hull City 0.00 vs Ipswich 0.33 — leans Ipswich
- Points per game: Hull City 0.67 vs Ipswich 1.17 — leans Ipswich
- Goals scored per game: Hull City 1.00 vs Ipswich 1.33 — leans Ipswich
- Goals allowed per game: Hull City 1.33 vs Ipswich 1.67 — leans Hull City
Table and competition — roughly even
Table and competition context is closely matched between Ipswich and Hull City.
- Table rank: Hull City 10 vs Ipswich 12 — roughly even
- Points: Hull City 10 vs Ipswich 10 — roughly even
- Goal difference: Hull City 1 vs Ipswich -4 — leans Hull City
- Points per game in this competition: Hull City 0.67 vs Ipswich 1.17 — leans Ipswich
- Goals scored per game in this competition: Hull City 1.00 vs Ipswich 1.33 — leans Ipswich
- Goals allowed per game in this competition: Hull City 1.33 vs Ipswich 1.67 — leans Hull City
Shots and expected goals — leans Hull City
Comparing shot volume and expected-goals profiles, the matchup favors Hull City.
- Expected goals for: Hull City 1.20 vs Ipswich 1.20 — roughly even
- Expected goals against: Hull City 1.20 vs Ipswich 1.20 — roughly even
- Shots for: Hull City 6.0 vs Ipswich 3.2 — leans Hull City
- Shots on target for: Hull City 1.4 vs Ipswich 1.2 — roughly even
Rest and availability — leans Ipswich
Factoring in days of rest and listed injuries, the matchup favors Ipswich.
- Days of rest: Hull City 6 vs Ipswich 8 — leans Ipswich
- Listed injuries: Hull City 0 vs Ipswich 0 — roughly even
Elo and streaks — leans Hull City
Weighing Elo ratings, current streaks, and home/away splits, the matchup favors Hull City.
- Elo: Hull City 1510 vs Ipswich 1408 — leans Hull City
- Win streak: Hull City 0 vs Ipswich 0 — roughly even
- Unbeaten streak: Hull City 1 vs Ipswich 1 — roughly even
- Home/away split win rate: Hull City 0.25 vs Ipswich 0.17 — leans Hull City
Win chance comes from the scoreline distribution of the predicted goals.
Betting Lines
Ipswich +182 | Draw +250 | Hull City +178 | O/U 2.5 (Betfair)
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.