Feeling ClutchDC United vs Columbus Crew
Saturday, October 31, 2026 — MLS Prediction & Pick
Columbus Crew 66% to win
Home win 66%, draw 19%, away win 15%. That lean is driven mainly by form and elo.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Columbus Crew (22 edges vs 1 edge for DC United).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this match.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last 10 games) — leans Columbus Crew
Evaluating win rate, points, and goals over the last ten games, the matchup favors Columbus Crew.
- Win rate: Columbus Crew 0.50 vs DC United 0.17 — leans Columbus Crew
- Points per game: Columbus Crew 1.50 vs DC United 0.75 — leans Columbus Crew
- Goals scored per game: Columbus Crew 1.83 vs DC United 0.92 — leans Columbus Crew
- Goals allowed per game: Columbus Crew 1.50 vs DC United 2.08 — leans Columbus Crew
- Goal difference per game: Columbus Crew 0.33 vs DC United -1.17 — leans Columbus Crew
Short-term form (last 5 games) — leans Columbus Crew
Looking at the last five matches — results and goals — the matchup favors Columbus Crew.
- Win rate: Columbus Crew 0.83 vs DC United 0.17 — leans Columbus Crew
- Points per game: Columbus Crew 2.50 vs DC United 0.67 — leans Columbus Crew
- Goals scored per game: Columbus Crew 2.50 vs DC United 1.17 — leans Columbus Crew
- Goals allowed per game: Columbus Crew 1.17 vs DC United 2.67 — leans Columbus Crew
Table and competition — leans Columbus Crew
Factoring in table position, points, goal difference, and results in this competition, the matchup favors Columbus Crew.
- Table rank: Columbus Crew 20 vs DC United 27 — leans Columbus Crew
- Points: Columbus Crew 38 vs DC United 33 — leans Columbus Crew
- Goal difference: Columbus Crew 1 vs DC United -17 — leans Columbus Crew
- Points per game in this competition: Columbus Crew 2.50 vs DC United 0.67 — leans Columbus Crew
- Goals scored per game in this competition: Columbus Crew 2.50 vs DC United 1.17 — leans Columbus Crew
- Goals allowed per game in this competition: Columbus Crew 1.17 vs DC United 2.67 — leans Columbus Crew
Shots and expected goals — leans DC United
Comparing shot volume and expected-goals profiles, the matchup favors DC United.
- Expected goals for: Columbus Crew 1.20 vs DC United 1.20 — roughly even
- Expected goals against: Columbus Crew 1.20 vs DC United 1.20 — roughly even
- Shots for: Columbus Crew 1.1 vs DC United 2.9 — leans DC United
- Shots on target for: Columbus Crew 0.7 vs DC United 0.8 — roughly even
Rest and availability — leans Columbus Crew
Factoring in days of rest and listed injuries, the matchup favors Columbus Crew.
- Days of rest: Columbus Crew 7 vs DC United 7 — roughly even
- Listed injuries: Columbus Crew 66 vs DC United 88 — leans Columbus Crew
Elo and streaks — leans Columbus Crew
Weighing Elo ratings, current streaks, and home/away splits, the matchup favors Columbus Crew.
- Elo: Columbus Crew 1521 vs DC United 1416 — leans Columbus Crew
- Win streak: Columbus Crew 3 vs DC United 0 — leans Columbus Crew
- Unbeaten streak: Columbus Crew 3 vs DC United 0 — leans Columbus Crew
- Home/away split win rate: Columbus Crew 0.58 vs DC United 0.08 — leans Columbus Crew
Head-to-head — leans Columbus Crew
Looking at recent meetings between these sides, the matchup favors Columbus Crew.
- Win rate in prior meetings: Columbus Crew 0.50 vs DC United 0.17 — leans Columbus Crew
- Goals per meeting: Columbus Crew 1.67 vs DC United 1.17 — leans Columbus Crew
Win chance comes from the scoreline distribution of the predicted goals.
Betting Lines
DC United +440 | Draw +375 | Columbus Crew -177 | O/U 3.5 (LeoVegas (SE))
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.